Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction – 8/13/2025
The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will wrap up a three-game series on Wednesday night in Houston. These teams have split a couple of high-scoring games at Daikin Park so far this week. This rubber match is important to both teams as they are both in the thick of their respective division races. Before first pitch from Houston, continue reading to get my analysis of this game, including my Red Sox vs Astros prediction.
Our Red Sox vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Over 7.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 13, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Walker Buehler (BOS) vs Hunter Brown (HOU)
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: NESN, SCHN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Walker Buehler is 7–6 with a 5.40 ERA for the Red Sox this season. He has a higher ERA but Buehler has shown flashes of brilliance. He recently had a strong outing against the Padres that he will look to build on in this game. Buehler’s ability to limit walks and generate strikeouts will be crucial against a potent Astros lineup.
Hunter Brown is 9–5 with a 2.51 ERA. He has been one of the most consistent pitchers for the Astros. Brown has a WHIP of 0.98 and 160 strikeouts in 136.1 innings and has demonstrated exceptional control. His performance will be key to Houston’s success in this game.
Key Players
- Red Sox: Alex Bregman has hit home runs against his former team in back-to-back games for Boston and will look to do damage for a third consecutive game in Houston.
- Astros: Jeremy Pena went 3-5 for the Astros last night and was one of the lone bright spots in their 14-1 loss on Tuesday.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Red Sox ended a three-game losing streak with their win over the Astros on Tuesday.
- Houston saw its two-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | Hits | Over 0.5 |
| Hunter Brown | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 |
| Jose Altuve | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Red Sox hold a 4-1 lead in the season series with the Astros.
- Tuesday’s game was the first time a road team won a game between these teams in 2025.
- This is the final time these teams will meet in the regular season this year.
Red Sox vs Astros Model Projection
- Score Projection: Red Sox 5 – Astros 6
- Win Probability: Red Sox 45%, Astros 55%
Final Thoughts
We have seen plenty of offense between these two teams in their current series. Both games to start this three-game set have seen 13 or more runs scored. I’m not sure that we see quite that many runs again tonight. But I do think that tonight’s game goes over the total, led by the Astros’ offense bouncing back nicely against Walker Buehler.
