Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 6/7/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Details

• Date: June 7, 2024
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Cooper Criswell - Red Sox
  • Garrett Crochet - White Sox

Betting Odds

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

On June 7, 2024, the Chicago White Sox will face off against the Boston Red Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The White Sox, with a record of 15-48, are having a terrible season, while the Red Sox hold a more average record of 32-31. This American League matchup is the second game in the series between the two teams.

The White Sox are projected to start left-handed pitcher Garrett Crochet, who is considered the #10 best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Crochet has started 13 games this year, with a win/loss record of 5-5 and an impressive ERA of 3.49. His xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky this season and is likely to perform better going forward.

On the other hand, the Red Sox are projected to start right-handed pitcher Cooper Criswell, who is considered a below-average pitcher by MLB standards. Criswell has started 10 games this year, with a win/loss record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.92.

In terms of offense, the White Sox rank as the worst team in MLB this season, with a low team batting average and a lack of power and stolen bases. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have a strong offense, ranking 9th in MLB with a high team batting average.

The White Sox's best hitter over the last 7 games has been Lenyn Sosa, recording 7 hits, 1 home run, and an impressive batting average of .438. The Red Sox's best hitter over the last 7 games has been Jamie Westbrook, hitting 1 home run and boasting a batting average of .400.

Considering the pitching matchup and offensive rankings, the White Sox may have an advantage in this game. Criswell's low-walk pitching style may not be as effective against the White Sox, who have shown patience at the plate.

The game total for today's matchup is set at 7.5 runs, indicating a low-scoring game. Both teams have a low implied team total of 3.75 runs, suggesting that the betting markets expect a close game.

Overall, despite their poor season, the White Sox have a chance to compete against the Red Sox in this game. With Crochet on the mound and the potential for their offense to capitalize on Criswell's weaknesses, the White Sox might surprise the odds and make it a competitive matchup.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

Compared to average, Cooper Criswell has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an -10.1 fewer adjusted pitches each game.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

Bobby Dalbec's speed has increased this season. His 28.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.64 ft/sec now.

• Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.

The Boston Red Sox bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Garrett Crochet has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Martin Maldonado pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Final Score: Boston Red Sox 4.09 vs Chicago White Sox 4.11

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.