Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction – 4/12/2025

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Boston Red Sox on April 12, 2025, the two teams are in starkly different places in the standings. The White Sox are mired in a tough season with a record of 3-10, while the Red Sox sit at a more respectable 7-8, performing at an average level. Last night, the White Sox clinched a victory over the Red Sox, in a surprising result to open this series.

On the mound, the White Sox will send out Martin Perez, a left-handed pitcher ranked as the 200th best in MLB according to advanced metrics. Perez has had a rough start to the season, projecting to allow an above-average 2.5 earned runs and an alarming 5.3 hits through 5.5 innings. His struggles have been compounded by a high rate of walks, averaging 2.1 per game. In contrast, Richard Fitts, the Red Sox's right-handed starter, is expected to pitch 5.3 innings while allowing a lower 2.3 earned runs, which is a positive indicator for Boston.

As the game approaches, the low Game Total of 7.5 runs suggests a tight contest, making it crucial for the White Sox to capitalize on any opportunities and for Perez to exceed projections. This matchup provides intrigue as both teams look to solidify their standing in a competitive American League.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

Richard Fitts's 2435.4-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 88th percentile among all SPs.

• Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Martin Perez is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #6 HR venue in the majors — today.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Red Sox 4.44, Chicago White Sox 3.7

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Richard Fitts - Red Sox
  • Martin Perez - White Sox

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