Boston Red Sox vs Athletics Pick – 9/10/2025
The Boston Red Sox and the Athletics will meet in Wednesday’s getaway day in West Sacramento. The Red Sox enter with two straight shutout wins over the A’s under their belt in this series. They will look to complete a three-game sweep and keep their shutout streak alive with a win here. Before first pitch from Sacramento, continue raeding to get my Red Sox vs Athletics prediction for this contest.
Our Red Sox vs Athletics Pick
- Pick: Red Sox moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Head-to-Head: Boston Red Sox at Athletics
- Date and Time: Wednesday, September 10, 3:35 PM Eastern
- Starting Pitchers: Payton Tolle vs Mason Barnett
- Stadium: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: NESN, NBC Sports California
Key Storylines
- Rookie arms headline the finale. Boston gives the ball to lefty Payton Tolle and the Athletics counter with righty Mason Barnett. The rookie that performs best here will give their team a great chance to grab the win.
- The Red Sox have excelled in day games, owning a strong daytime record. The Athletics are below .500 in day games, which matters in a quick-turn spot after late finishes earlier in the series.
- Boston currently occupies the second AL Wild Card slot and will try to continue to move closer to a playoff berth with a win here.
Pitching breakdown
Payton Tolle, Red Sox: Tolle enters this game with a record of 0-1 and a 7.56 ERA so far in the bigs. That line is inflated by one rough inning but his whiff rate is legitimate and the fastball-slider look has generated double-digit strikeouts through 8.1 innings. His goal will be to get ahead early and keep Oakland’s right-handed bats from ambushing first-pitch fastballs.
Mason Barnett, Athletics: Barnett is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA across 9.0 innings of work. He secured his first victory with 8 strikeouts but also issued 5 walks in that game. He has allowed nine earned runs in his first two starts. Barnett has shown flashes, but command lapses have pushed pitch counts high before the sixth inning on a regular basis.
Recent team streaks
- Boston has won three games in a row coming into the final game of this series.
- The Athletics have lost two games in a row, including the first two games of this series against Boston.
Best Player Props
| Player | Market | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker | Home Run | Over 0.5 |
| Payton Tolle | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 |
| Mason Barnett | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 |
| Alex Bregman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Boston holds a 2-0 lead in their season series with the Athletics.
- Boston has outscored the A’s 13-0 through the first two games of this series.
- Boston is 37-37 on the road after winning the first two games of this series.
- The A’s are 29-42 at their temporary home in Sacramento.
Red Sox vs Athletics Model Projection
Score Projection: Red Sox 5 – Athletics 3
Win Probability: Red Sox 59%, Athletics 41%
Final Thoughts
This pitching matchup could mean runs on both sides of this matchup. But I do think that the Red Sox have the upper hand for the third game in a row against the Athletics. Tolle has shown more upside on the mound and the Sox should be able to complete a sweep before moving onto a huge series at home against the New York Yankees.
