Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction – 7/1/2025
The Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles square off Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at Globe Life Field. Both clubs enter the game pursuing consistency, with both teams sitting under the .500 mark for the season and in need of some wins quickly. Here, I break this contest down and make my Orioles vs Rangers prediction from Arlington.
Our Orioles vs Rangers Pick
Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5
Confidence: ★★★★
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers
Date & Time: July 1, 2025 – 8:05 p.m. ET
Starting Pitchers: Brandon Young (BAL, 0–2, 7.11 ERA) vs Jacob deGrom (TEX, 8–2, 2.08 ERA)
Stadium: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: MLB.tv
Moneyline
Runline
Total
TEX –193 / BAL +157
TEX –1.5 (+118) / BAL +1.5 (–144)
7
Key Storylines
Jacob deGrom vs Brandon Young: deGrom has been dominant with 95.1 innings, a sparkling 2.08 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, and is coming off a shutout seven-inning performance vs Baltimore. Young has struggled through 12.2 innings with a 7.11 ERA.
Bullpen usage: Texas’ bullpen ranks fourth in MLB with a 3.33 ERA. Baltimore’s relief corps has a 4.54 ERA, ranking 24th.
Recent team streaks: Texas has dropped 3 of its last 4 including a 10-6 extra-innings loss Monday. Baltimore has won 3 of 4, including that comeback.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Line
Jacob deGrom
Strikeouts
Over 7.5 (+105)
Brandon Young
Strikeouts
Under 3.5 (–120)
Gunnar Henderson
Total Bases
Over 2.5 (–225)
Betting Trends & H2H
In their last 5 meetings, Baltimore has won 3, including last night’s 10–6 extra‑innings victory.
Home/Road Split: Texas is comfortable at home (24–19) and Baltimore struggles on the road (18–25).
Baltimore is 6–14 vs lefties, Texas is 28–31 vs righties.
Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas 5 – Baltimore 3
Win Probability: Texas 62%, Baltimore 38%
Final Thoughts
Considering deGrom’s dominance, the bullpen disparity, and home-field advantage, Texas is the smart money play for me. Baltimore’s recent surge has been commendable, but their pitching staff isn’t built to contain the Rangers consistently. Expect Texas to bounce back with a solid effort, making the runline a savvy play.
Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction – 7/1/2025
Manage Consent
To deliver optimal experiences, we use cookies to gather device data. Your consent enables us to process information such as browsing habits. Withdrawing consent may affect the site’s functionality.
Functional Always active
Technical storage or access is essential to provide the requested service or facilitate communication over the network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
he storage or access is only for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
Storage or access is needed to create user profiles for ads or track users across websites for marketing.