Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick – 7/19/2025

The Tampa Bay Rays blew out the Baltimore Orioles on Friday night. They will look for a repeat performance at home on Saturday against their division rivals. Tampa is favored to get a second straight win that they hope will help their postseason aspirations. But they will need to earn that win on the field tonight. Continue reading to get my Orioles vs Rays prediction for Saturday night.

Our Orioles vs Rays Pick

  • Pick: Baltimore Orioles moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date & Time: Saturday, July 19, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Dean Kremer (BAL) vs Zack Littell (TB)
  • Stadium: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
  • Broadcast: FDSSUN and MASN2

Key Storylines

  • Orioles seeking bounce-back: Baltimore has dropped three straight games. They will look to end their struggles in the state of Florida tonight.
  • Rays craving consistency: Tampa Bay snapped a four-game skid with an explosive 11–1 win Friday. The question for them is whether they can build on that win.

Pitching Form

Dean Kremer is 8–7 with a 4.24 ERA this season for the Orioles. Kremer’s control has been an issue this season and he has to do something about that to get a win here.

Zack Littell is also 8–7 and has a 3.56 ERA. He has given up 24 home runs in 116.1 innings of work. If he continues to have trouble keeping the ball in the yard, the Rays could see their division rivals even things up against them in this series.

Bullpen Usage

Tampa Bay’s bullpen saw limited action in Friday’s blowout. Baltimore’s relievers had a lot more work to do. That could give the Rays the edge here.

Recent Team Streaks

  • The Orioles have lost three straight games coming into this contest.
  • Tampa has lost four of its last five and snapped a four-game skid on Friday.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Cedric Mullins (BAL)Over 0.5 Home Runs
Dean Kremer (BAL)Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Jonathan Aranda (TB)Over 1.5 Total Bases
  • The season series between these teams is tied 4-4 after Friday’s game.
  • Tampa has scored in double-digits three times in eight games against the Orioles this season.

Orioles vs Rays Model Projection

Score Projection: Baltimore 5 – Tampa Bay 4

Win Probability: Baltimore 47%, Tampa Bay 53%

Final Thoughts

I don’t see this game being as lopsided as the matchup between these teams on Friday. Kremer should be able to hang with Littell on the mound. But Littell’s tendency to give up home runs could tilt things in Baltimore’s favor in this contest. Look for the Orioles to win as slight underdogs in what should be a competitive matchup tonight.


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Home MLB Picks Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick – 7/19/2025