Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick – 7/18/2025
The Baltimore Orioles are in Tampa for a Friday night contest against the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Tampa Bay is in the hunt for a Wild Card spot thanks to a strong home record. They are slight favorites in this division matchup against the struggling Orioles. Continue reading to get my Orioles vs Rays prediction for Friday night. Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Pitching form: Veteran Charlie Morton has struggled to replicate his best form with a 5-7 record. He is 5-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. His arsenal of fastballs and cutters will be tested by a Rays lineup that ranks in the top half of the league in on-base percentage. Tampa’s Taj Bradley has posted a 5-6 record and a 4.60 ERA this season. The game will hinge on which starter limits damage early. Bullpen usage: Both bullpens will be fresh coming out of the All-Star break. If this game comes down to the bullpens you’d imagine that the Rays have the advantage. Tampa is in the middle of the pack in bullpen ERA. Baltimore ranks on the bottom-six in that department. Recent team streaks: Both teams enter this series on losing streaks. The O’s lost two games in a row coming into this series. Tampa has dropped four games in a row after a four-game sweep against the Boston Red Sox to close out the first half of their season. Score Projection: Rays 5 – Orioles 4 Win Probability: Rays 59%, Orioles 41% I’m not sure that I’d base my betting decisions in this game on the starting pitching for either side. But I do think that the Rays have a significant advantage in the bullpen compared to the relievers of the Orioles. That should tilt this game in Tampa’s favor. I’ll take the Rays to win this game on the moneyline in what should be a close one to start this series from the temporary home of the Rays.Our Orioles vs Rays Pick
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Key Storylines
Best Player Props
Player Prop Junior Caminero Home runs: over 0.5 Taj Bradley Strikeouts: over 5.5 Jonathan Aranda Total bases: over 1.5 Betting Trends & H2H
Orioles vs Rays Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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