Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction – 8/17/2025
The Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros will wrap up their three-game series on Sunday afternoon at Daikin Park. These teams have split the first two games of their three-game set. Houston will look to win this game to help their playoff positioning for the year and the Orioles are looking to get closer to the .500 mark. Before the action begins from Houston, keep reading to get my Orioles vs Astros prediction.
Our Orioles vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5 runs
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 2:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Dean Kremer (Orioles) vs Cristian Javier (Astros)
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: SCHN and MASN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Dean Kremer carries an 8‑9 record this season with a 4.17 ERA and 1.25 WHIP for the Orioles. Kremer is giving up about a hit per inning and will hope to bring that average down against a potent Astros offense. Facing Kermer is Cristian Javier. Javier is making his second start of the season after returning from Tommy John surgery. He’s currently 1‑0 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in just 5 innings.
Key Players
Jackson Holliday hit the home run that tied the game for the Orioles on Saturday. The game ended up going 12 innings thanks to the heroics of Holliday late in the game. Houston’s Carlos Correa knocked in a run and scored a run to help the Astros get Saturday’s win.
Recent Team Streaks
The Orioles had a three-game winning streak snapped in their last outing. Houston has won three of its last five games going into Sunday’s rubber match with Baltimore.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| José Altuve (HOU) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these teams is tied 1-1.
- The over/under is 1-1 in games between these two teams this season.
- Baltimore is 28-28 in day games this season.
- Houston is 26-17 in their day games for the year.
Orioles vs Astros Model Projection
- Score Projection: Astros 6 – Orioles 5
- Win Probability: Astros 55%, Orioles 45%
Final Thoughts
I would anticipate Houston winning at home to close out this series with the Orioles. But I’d rather take the over in this game from a betting standpoint. Both pitchers are struggling to some extent going into this game. Whether they are struggling due to not pitching much this year or just being ineffective, I think their woes will help this game get over the total in H-Town.
