Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 9/1/2024

• Date: September 1, 2024
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Zach Eflin - Orioles
  • Ty Blach - Rockies

Betting Odds

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

As the Baltimore Orioles visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies on September 1, 2024, the stakes feel tilted in favor of the Orioles. Baltimore is currently enjoying a productive season with a record of 78-59, while Colorado struggles at 51-86, reflecting a disappointing campaign. The Rockies recently managed a win against the Orioles, taking the previous game by a score of 7-5, but they remain heavy underdogs in this matchup.

Projected starters Ty Blach and Zach Eflin present an intriguing contrast. Black is 3-6 this season with a 6.36 ERA and he has really struggled throughout this season. In contrast, Eflin, ranked 33rd among starting pitchers, boasts a solid ERA of 3.72 and a more favorable record of 9-7. In his latest start, he pitched effectively with only 1 earned run over 6 innings, highlighting his capability as a strong option for the Orioles.

Offensively, the Orioles bring a potent attack, ranking 5th overall in MLB, with a league-leading 1st rank in home runs. Gunnar Henderson, the Orioles’ standout hitter, continues to shine with 33 homers this season. Meanwhile, Colorado's Brenton Doyle, the best hitter for the Rockies, has been productive but faces an uphill battle against Eflin’s skill set.

The projections suggest a high-scoring game, with the Rockies expected to put up 5.27 runs while the Orioles are projected for 6.40 runs. This makes for an enticing matchup as the Orioles aim to capitalize on their strong offensive and pitching advantages, setting the stage for potential excitement at Coors Field.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

Zach Eflin's curveball utilization has dropped by 9% from last season to this one (26.5% to 17.5%) .

• Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.

Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles' bullpen projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the game.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 86.4-mph EV last year has fallen to 84.1-mph.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Colorado Rockies offense projects to score the 5th-most runs on the slate today, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 122 games (+16.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Final Score: Baltimore Orioles 6.4 vs Colorado Rockies 5.27

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