Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Pick – 7/23/2025
The Cleveland Guardians are slight favorites against the Baltimore Orioles at Progressive Field on Wednesday night. The Guardians have won the first two games of this four-game series and will look to secure a third straight win here. Continue scrolling to get my analysis for this American League matchup, including my Orioles vs Guardians prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Orioles vs Guardians Pick
Pick: Guardians to win
Confidence: 3 stars
Get Your Bonus Bets: Use our DraftKings bonus code to bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets INSTANTLY, win or lose on this game. Just click the Claim Bonus button below to start!
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Wins
Date & Time: Wednesday, July 23, 2025, 6:40 PM EDT
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin (BAL) vs Slade Cecconi (CLE)
Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcast: MASN, FDSN OH
Key Storylines
Pitching Form: Zach Eflin returns from the IL after a lower back strain. He lost his last three starts prior to going on the IL in late June and his level will be of vital importance to the O’s in this game. Slade Cecconi has been consistent for the Guardians with a 3.84 ERA this season. I would give the starting pitching edge to Cleveland in this game.
Bullpen Usage: The Orioles have had more trouble with their bullpen in this series than the Guardians have. Baltimore has allowed 16 runs in their last two games in Cleveland and their pen has a lot to do with those struggles.
Recent Team Streaks: The Guardians are on a three-game home winning streak. The Orioles are looking to rebound after two consecutive losses at Progressive Field.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Jose Ramirez
Over 0.5 Home Runs
Ramon Laureano
Over 0.5 Home Runs
Slade Cecconi
Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Betting Trends & H2H
The Guardians have taken a 3-2 lead in their season series with the Orioles after winning two straight against them this week.
The Guardians are back to .500 at home after those two straight wins. They are 24-24 at home for the year.
Orioles vs Guardians Model Projection
Score Projection: Guardians 5 – Orioles 4
Win Probability: Guardians 55%, Orioles 45%
Final Thoughts
I am very interested to see how Zach Eflin looks in his return from the IL. But based on his numbers so far this season there is cause for concern there. I will take the Guardians in this game, as they should take advantage of Eflin’s struggles as he gets back into the swing of things. Cleveland will go into Thursday with a chance to complete a four-game sweep.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Pick – 7/23/2025
Manage Consent
To deliver optimal experiences, we use cookies to gather device data. Your consent enables us to process information such as browsing habits. Withdrawing consent may affect the site’s functionality.
Functional Always active
Technical storage or access is essential to provide the requested service or facilitate communication over the network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
he storage or access is only for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
Storage or access is needed to create user profiles for ads or track users across websites for marketing.