Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction – 8/3/2025
The Baltimore Orioles will play the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Sunday afternoon. These teams have split the first two games of their three-game interleague series this weekend. Chicago is the favorite going into the rubber match and you can continue reading to get my Orioles vs Cubs prediction from the Friendly Confines on Sunday.
Our Orioles vs Cubs Pick
- Pick: Chicago Cubs moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 2:20 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Brandon Young vs Colin Rea
- Stadium: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee, MASN2
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Colin Rea comes into this game with a record of 8-5 and a 4.25 ERA. Rea is expected to give the Cubs the advantage in the starting pitching department against Baltimore’s Brandon Young. Young has struggled this season with an 0-5 record and a 6.63 ERA. He will look for his first win of the 2025 season in this matchup.
Key Players
- Chicago: The key players for the Cubs going into this game reside in their bullpen. Chicago’s pen gave up four runs in the eighth inning to blow a three-run lead on Saturday. They will aim to bounce back in this game.
- Baltimore: Gunnar Henderson hit the go-ahead three-run home run for the Orioles on Saturday afternoon. He will be a key contributor for the Orioles again.
Recent team streaks
- The Cubs had a two-game winning streak snapped in their last game against the Orioles.
- Baltimore had a two-game losing streak snapped with their win on Saturday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow‑Armstrong | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Gunnar Henderson | Hits | Over 1 .5 |
| Kyle Tucker | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- These teams have split the first two games of their season series this year.
- The under has cashed in each of the last two games the Cubs and Orioles have played.
- Sunday’s game is the final matchup between these teams in the 2025 regular season.
Orioles vs Cubs Model Projection
Score Projection: Cubs 6 – Orioles 4
Win Probability: Cubs 57%, Orioles 43%
Final Thoughts
The Cubs should be able to bounce back from their disappointing collapse against the Orioles in this game. As long as the Chicago bullpen doesn’t completely implode in this contest, I expect Rea to hold the O’s in check early on. That will allow the Chicago lineup to give the Cubs a lead that they will not give back for a change. I’ll take the Cubs on the moneyline here, though I don’t mind the idea of getting a better price by laying the runline with Chicago either.
