Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Pick – 5/23/2025

The Boston Red Sox face off against the Baltimore Orioles on May 23, 2025, in the second game of a doubleheader at Fenway Park. The Red Sox currently find themselves in a tightly contested American League East, boasting a record of 25-26. Meanwhile, the Orioles are struggling significantly this season with a 16-32 record, placing them among the league's worst. In their last outing, the Red Sox suffered a defeat to the Mets, losing 5-1, while the Orioles notched a 8-4 victory over the Brewers.

On the mound, the Red Sox are set to start Lucas Giolito, who has endured a challenging season with a 1-1 record and a dismal ERA of 7.08. Giolito's 4.22 xFIP suggests he might be due for some positive regression, however, as he faces a low-walk Orioles lineup that ranks 4th least in MLB for walks. Giolito’s propensity to throw strikes could play into the hands of hitters who are generally patient at the plate.

Opposing Giolito will be Charlie Morton, who has had an even more difficult campaign with an 0-7 record and a 7.68 ERA. Morton projects to pitch only 4.2 innings, allowing a troubling 2.6 earned runs, which compounds the challenges for an Orioles offense that ranks 22nd in MLB overall, and 24th in batting average. Despite their home runs ranking 10th in the league, the Orioles' inconsistency could hamper their chances against a Red Sox offense that ranks 7th in MLB and is looking to capitalize on Morton's struggles.

With the Red Sox's talent at the plate and Giolito's potential to improve, this matchup could see the home team take firm control after their recent loss. The current moneyline suggests the Red Sox hold an edge, reflected in their implied team total of 5.02 runs. As they look to bounce back, this battle shapes up to be a pivotal moment for both teams as they seek to find their footing in the standings.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Game 2 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Baltimore Orioles 4.91, Boston Red Sox 5.1

• Date: May 23, 2025
• Venue: Fenway Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Charlie Morton - Orioles
  • Lucas Giolito - Red Sox

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