Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals Best Bet – 5/22/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: May 22, 2024
• Venue: Busch Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • John Means - Orioles
  • Kyle Gibson - Cardinals

Betting Odds

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Interleague matchup, the St. Louis Cardinals are set to host the Baltimore Orioles at Busch Stadium on May 22, 2024. The Cardinals, currently having a tough season with a record of 21-26, will be looking to turn things around against the Orioles, who are enjoying a great season with a record of 29-16.

Taking the mound for the Cardinals is right-handed pitcher Kyle Gibson, who has started nine games this year and holds a 3-2 win/loss record. Gibson has an ERA of 4.09, which is slightly above average, but his peripheral indicators suggest that he may have been lucky so far this season and could face challenges going forward. On the other side, the Orioles will be relying on left-handed pitcher John Means, who has started three games and boasts an impressive 2-0 record with a 3.06 ERA.

This game marks the first of a double-header between the two teams and is the third game in their series, as they will be wrapping up a suspended game from Tuesday before playing this one. The Cardinals' offense, ranking as the 24th best in MLB, has struggled this season, but they have shown some power with the fifth-highest number of home runs. Meanwhile, the Orioles' offense has been strong, ranking seventh overall in MLB.

In terms of pitching matchups, Gibson is projected to pitch an average of 5.7 innings, allowing 3.0 earned runs on average. He is expected to strike out 4.2 batters while surrendering 6.1 hits and 1.7 walks. Means, on the other hand, is projected to pitch 5.2 innings, allowing 2.4 earned runs. He is expected to strike out 3.9 batters while giving up 4.9 hits and 1.3 walks.

Looking at the overall team rankings, the Cardinals' bullpen is considered the fourth best in MLB, while the Orioles' bullpen ranks 24th. The Cardinals have been led by their best hitter Lars Nootbaar in the last seven games, while the Orioles have relied on Gunnar Henderson during the same period.

With the Orioles being favored in this matchup, the Cardinals will need to rely on their power and take advantage of John Means' tendency to give up flyballs. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, indicating an average expectation for scoring.

As the Cardinals aim to overcome their struggles and pull off an upset, the Orioles will look to continue their strong season and secure a victory. The stage is set for an exciting game between these two teams with contrasting fortunes.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Final Score: Baltimore Orioles 4.67 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.26

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