Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Prediction For 4/24/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Overview

• Date: April 24, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Dean Kremer - Orioles
  • Tyler Anderson - Angels
• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 125, Angels 1.5 -150
• Money Line: Orioles -130, Angels 110
• Total (Over/Under): 9

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 54%
• Los Angeles Angels - 46%

Projected Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 48.97%
• Los Angeles Angels - 51.03%

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Game Preview & Prediction

In this American League matchup, the Los Angeles Angels are set to face the Baltimore Orioles on April 24, 2024, at Angel Stadium. The Angels, with a record of 9-14, are having a tough season, while the Orioles, boasting a record of 15-7, are enjoying a great season.

The Angels are projected to start left-handed pitcher Tyler Anderson, who has had a decent season so far. Despite his ERA of 1.42, which is excellent, his 5.21 xFIP suggests that he has been lucky and may not perform as well going forward. On the other hand, the Orioles are projected to start right-handed pitcher Dean Kremer, who has struggled this season with an ERA of 4.91. However, his 4.39 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky and could improve in future outings.

This game marks the third in the series between these two teams. In their last game, the Angels played against an unknown opponent, while the Orioles faced off against another unknown team.

The Angels offense ranks as the 21st best in MLB this season, indicating a below-average performance. However, they excel in team home runs, ranking 3rd in the league. The Orioles, on the other hand, have the 3rd best offense in MLB, showcasing their offensive prowess.

In terms of betting odds, the Angels have a moneyline set at +115, implying a win probability of 45%. The Orioles, with a moneyline of -135, have an implied win probability of 55%. The close odds suggest that this will be a competitive game.

In their last seven games, the Angels' best hitter has been Jo Adell, showcasing a strong performance with a .500 batting average and a 1.571 OPS. Meanwhile, Anthony Santander has been the Orioles' best hitter in the same period, hitting .316 with a 1.199 OPS.

This game presents an interesting matchup, as Dean Kremer, a low-strikeout pitcher, faces the high-strikeout Angels offense. However, Kremer's weakness as a high-flyball pitcher may play into the hands of the powerful Angels offense, which ranks third in home runs this season.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

Dean Kremer's higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (58.2% vs. 48.3% last year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tyler Anderson today.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Baltimore's 89.4-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the worst in the majors: #5 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Tyler Anderson's 88.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 2nd percentile out of all starters.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Whalloping 2 HRs over the last 7 days, Mike Trout has been on fire in recent games.

• Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.

In today's matchup, Logan O'Hoppe is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (94th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 49 of their last 70 away games (+23.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Orioles vs Angels Prediction: Orioles 5 - Angels 4.85

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