Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Pick For 4/23/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Overview

• Date: April 23, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Grayson Rodriguez - Orioles
  • Griffin Canning - Angels
• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 110, Angels 1.5 -130
• Money Line: Orioles -150, Angels 130
• Total (Over/Under): 8.5

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 58%
• Los Angeles Angels - 42%

Projected Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 55.75%
• Los Angeles Angels - 44.25%

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Game Preview & Prediction

On April 23, 2024, the Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Angel Stadium. The Angels will be the home team for this American League matchup. The game is the second in the series between these two teams.

The Orioles are having a great season with a record of 14-7. Their offense ranks as the 3rd best in MLB, showcasing their talent. The Orioles have been consistent, with a balanced performance in batting average and home runs. Their bullpen is considered the 13th best in MLB, providing solid support in close games.

The Angels are projected to start right-handed pitcher Griffin Canning, who has had a challenging season. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Canning is ranked as the #168 best starting pitcher in MLB. His win/loss record is 0-3, and his ERA stands at a disappointing 8.05. However, his xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and may perform better going forward.

The Orioles will counter with right-handed pitcher Grayson Rodriguez, who has been impressive this season. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Rodriguez is ranked as the #50 best starting pitcher in MLB. He has a win/loss record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.63. However, his xFIP suggests that he has been lucky and may not perform as well in the future.

In terms of offensive performance, the Orioles have the edge over the Angels. However, Rodriguez's high-strikeout ability may give him an advantage against the Angels' high-strikeout offense. On the other hand, the Angels' power hitters could pose a challenge for Rodriguez, as he tends to give up flyballs.

The game total for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs, indicating an average expectation for scoring. The Orioles are the betting favorites with a moneyline of -150 and an implied win probability of 58%. The Angels, as the underdogs, have a moneyline of +130 and an implied win probability of 42%.

As the Angels look to turn their season around, they will rely on their power hitters to deliver against the talented Grayson Rodriguez. Meanwhile, the Orioles will aim to continue their strong performance and utilize Rodriguez's pitching prowess to secure another win.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Baltimore Orioles hitters as a group rank near the cellar of MLB since the start of last season ( worst) in regard to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Griffin Canning has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 49 of their last 70 away games (+23.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 105% ROI)

Orioles vs Angels Prediction: Orioles 4.98 - Angels 4.17

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