Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Pick For 4/22/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Overview

• Date: April 22, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Albert Suarez - Orioles
  • Reid Detmers - Angels
• Run Line: Orioles 1.5 -205, Angels -1.5 175
• Money Line: Orioles 100, Angels -120
• Total (Over/Under): 8.5

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 48%
• Los Angeles Angels - 52%

Projected Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 43.19%
• Los Angeles Angels - 56.81%

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels Game Preview & Prediction

On April 22, 2024, the Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Angel Stadium. The Angels will be playing as the home team, while the Orioles will be the away team. This American League matchup is the first game in the series between these two teams.

The Angels have had a tough season so far, with a record of 9-13. Their offense has struggled, ranking 21st in MLB, but they have shown power with the 3rd most home runs in the league. The Orioles, on the other hand, have been performing exceptionally well, with a record of 14-7. Their offense ranks 4th in MLB, showcasing their strong lineup.

The projected starting pitcher for the Angels is Reid Detmers, a talented left-handed pitcher. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Detmers is considered the 59th best starting pitcher in MLB. He has started four games this season, maintaining an impressive record of 3-0 with an ERA of 1.19. However, his xFIP suggests that he may regress in future performances.

Albert Suarez is projected to start for the Orioles. Suarez is a right-handed pitcher who has started one game this season, maintaining a perfect ERA of 0.00. However, his xFIP indicates that he may not sustain this level of success in future outings.

In terms of team rankings, the Angels offense ranks 21st in MLB, while the Orioles offense ranks 4th. The Angels bullpen is considered one of the weakest in the league, ranking 28th, while the Orioles bullpen ranks 12th.

The betting markets perceive this game as a close matchup, with the Angels having a slight edge according to their moneyline. The Angels have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Orioles have an implied win probability of 48%.

Overall, this game presents an intriguing matchup between the struggling Angels and the high-performing Orioles. The Angels will rely on Detmers' strong pitching to counter the potent Orioles offense. However, Suarez's solid performance could pose a challenge for the Angels' offense. With both teams looking to secure a victory, expect an exciting and closely contested game at Angel Stadium.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Albert Suarez is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Ryan Mountcastle has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), ranking in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

• Hitters who can spray the ball around the field tend to have good bat control and a strong ability to generate hits.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Due to his large reverse platoon split, Reid Detmers will be at an advantage facing 8 hitters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in this game.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Trout in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 137 games (+24.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Reid Detmers has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Orioles vs Angels Prediction: Orioles 4.49 - Angels 4.92

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and predictions all season long.