Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals Prediction For 4/20/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Overview

• Date: April 20, 2024
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Corbin Burnes - Orioles
  • Cole Ragans - Royals
• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 135, Royals 1.5 -155
• Money Line: Orioles -130, Royals 110
• Total (Over/Under):8 -110

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Baltimore Orioles - 54%
• Kansas City Royals - 46%

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Game Preview & Prediction

The Kansas City Royals will host the Baltimore Orioles in an American League matchup on April 20, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams are having great seasons, with the Royals holding a 13-7 record and the Orioles close behind at 12-7.

The Royals are expected to start left-handed pitcher Cole Ragans, who has been performing exceptionally well this season. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Ragans is ranked as the #18 best starting pitcher in MLB out of approximately 350 pitchers. With a 0-1 record and an impressive 1.93 ERA, Ragans has been a key contributor to the Royals' success so far.

On the other side, the Orioles will send right-handed pitcher Corbin Burnes to the mound. Burnes has also been in outstanding form this season, ranking as the #20 best starting pitcher according to our Power Rankings. With a 2-0 record and a 2.28 ERA, Burnes has been a reliable force for the Orioles.

In terms of offensive rankings, the Royals have the 12th best offense in MLB, while the Orioles boast the 5th best offense. However, the Royals have struggled in the power department, ranking 26th in team home runs. The Orioles, on the other hand, have displayed an impressive ability to score runs.

Defensively, the Royals have the 23rd best bullpen in MLB, while the Orioles have the 13th best bullpen. This could be a factor to consider as the game progresses into the later innings.

Based on the current odds, the Royals have an average implied team total of 3.81 runs, while the Orioles have an average implied team total of 4.19 runs. The betting markets anticipate a close game, with the Orioles slightly favored.

It will be interesting to see how the Royals' offense, which lacks power, matches up against Burnes, who has a high groundball rate. This could potentially work in favor of the Royals, as their lack of power may not be as significant against a pitcher who keeps the ball on the ground.

Overall, this game promises to be an exciting matchup between two teams having successful seasons. With strong pitching performances from Ragans and Burnes, and the offensive prowess of both teams, fans can expect an entertaining contest at Kauffman Stadium.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Corbin Burnes in the 91st percentile among all starters in the game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

• Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Salvador Perez, the Royals's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Orioles vs Royals Prediction: Orioles 4.29 - Royals 3.88

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