Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks 6/7/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Details

• Date: June 7, 2024
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Chris Sale - Braves
  • Jake Irvin - Nationals

Betting Odds

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves in an exciting National League East matchup on June 7, 2024. The game will take place at Nationals Park, with the Nationals serving as the home team.

The projected starting pitcher for the Nationals is Jake Irvin, a right-handed pitcher. He has started 12 games this year and has a win/loss record of 3-5. Irvin has an impressive ERA of 3.39 this season, but his 4.12 xERA suggests he may have been lucky and could perform worse in the future.

The Braves are projected to start Chris Sale, an elite left-handed pitcher. Sale has started 11 games this season and has an impressive win/loss record of 8-1. He has an ERA of 3.06, with a lower xFIP of 2.47, indicating that he may have been unlucky and could perform even better going forward.

In terms of offense, the Nationals rank as the 27th best team in MLB this season, while the Braves rank 8th. The Nationals have struggled in home runs, ranking 29th, but excel in team batting average, ranking 6th. The Braves, on the other hand, lead the league in team batting average and home runs.

Based on the current odds, the Braves are the favorites to win the game with an implied win probability of 64%. The Nationals, on the other hand, have a lower implied win probability of 36%.

With the Nationals' struggling offense and the Braves' strong pitching and hitting, the Braves seem to have the advantage in this game. However, baseball is unpredictable, and anything can happen on the field. It will be an exciting matchup to watch between these two division rivals.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

In his last start, Chris Sale gave up a whopping 8 earned runs.

• A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.

Matt Olson will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

Jake Irvin has averaged 93.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

• Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

The 3rd-worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Washington Nationals.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+7.58 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Braves 5.25 vs Washington Nationals 3.62

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