Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction – 9/15/2025

The Atlanta Braves will head to the nation’s capital on Monday, September 15, 2025 to begin a four-game set against the Washington Nationals. Both of these teams are out of playoff contention late in the regular season. But they will still be looking to pick up a win here against one another in this battle of NL East opponents. Here, I break down this contest and give you my Braves vs Nationals prediction for Monday.

Our Braves vs Nationals Pick

• Pick: Nationals Moneyline
• Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
• Date & Time: Monday, September 15, 2025, 6:45 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Spencer Strider vs Mitchell Parker
• Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
• Broadcast: MASN, PeachtreeTV

Key Storylines

• Pitching volatility will be a factor in this series opener. Strider has returned to form in spurts with strikeout spikes, but his run prevention has wavered. Washington’s Mitchell Parker has struggled throughout the year and will try to get right against the struggling Braves.
• These teams are going to see a lot of each other in the near future. This is the first of seven games scheduled between these teams over the next 10 days.
• The outcome of those seven games could determine which team finishes fourth in the NL East and which team finishes in last place. The Braves are four games ahead of the Nats right now, but that could change in a hurry.

Pitching matchup

• Spencer Strider, Atlanta: Strider enters this game at 5-13 with a 4.86 ERA. His four-seam fastball and slider remain swing-and-miss weapons. The concern is Strider’s tendency to take damage when behind in counts. Expect a strikeout rate advantage over Washington’s starter.
• Mitchell Parker, Washington: Parker is 8-15 with a 5.69 ERA for the season. He misses barrels at times with a riding fastball and big breaker. But right-handed power has tagged him, especially later in starts.

Recent team streaks

• The Nationals come into this game having taken two out of three games against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series.
• Atlanta dropped two out of three games to the Houston Astros in their last series.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The season series between these teams is tied 3-3 entering Monday.
• Atlanta is 1-4 in its last five games. Washington is 2-3 in their last five.
• Atlanta is 30-44 on the road this season. Washington is 31-43 at home.

Braves vs Nationals Model Projection

• Score Projection: Atlanta 4 – Washington 5
• Win Probability: Atlanta 46%, Washington 54%

Final Thoughts

Strider is more than capable of racking up the strikeouts for the Braves. But he is also susceptible to giving up hard contact on a regular basis. I’ll take the Nationals to win at home over the Braves, as these teams are more evenly matched than the betting odds for this game would suggest.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.