Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Prediction – 5/29/2025

On May 29, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park for the second game of a double-header. The Phillies currently hold a solid 35-19 record, showcasing their impressive season, while the Braves sit at 25-28, struggling to find their rhythm. In yesterday's matchup, the Phillies secured a convincing win, adding to their momentum.

Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler, ranked 3rd in the advanced-stat Power Rankings, is projected to start and has been a key factor in the team's success with a 6-1 record and an excellent ERA of 2.42. Wheeler has been particularly good at limiting earned runs, allowing an average of just 2.5 per game, although he does project to allow 5.1 hits, which could present some challenges.

On the other side, Atlanta's Chris Sale comes in ranked 11th among MLB's starters, with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 3.36. Sale is known for his high strikeout rate, which is at 29.8%, giving him an edge in matchups against teams that struggle with strikeouts. However, the Phillies rank as the 6th least strikeout-prone offense, potentially neutralizing one of Sale's key strengths.

Philadelphia's offense ranks 5th in the league, underscoring their ability to score runs, while Atlanta's offense ranks in the middle of the pack at 15th. The projections suggest the Phillies should average 3.84 runs, and with their elite batting capabilities, they might outperform that expectation.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

Compared to average, Chris Sale has been given an above-average leash this year, recording an additional 7.3 adjusted pitches each game.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Quick Takes Philadelphia Phillies:

When estimating his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Braves 4.44, Philadelphia Phillies 4.13

• Date: May 29, 2025
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Chris Sale - Braves
  • Zack Wheeler - Phillies

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