Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction – 8/13/2025
The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves are set to square off on Wednesday night at Citi Field. The Mets put on a display of their power in a blowout win over the Braves in the first game of this series. They will look for a repeat performance at the plate in this game. Before the action begins, I have broken down this game in the betting markets and you can find my Braves vs Mets prediction below.
Our Braves vs Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 13, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco (Braves) vs. David Peterson (Mets)
- Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Fox Sports 1
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
David Peterson is 7–5 with a 2.98 ERA this season. He takes the mound for New York on Wednesday night. He’s averaging six innings per outing and chasing his 15th quality start of the year. He held Atlanta to a .200 batting average across seven innings in one outing earlier this year. Atlanta’s Carlos Carrasco is 2–2 and has a 6.18 ERA. He gave up six earned runs over 5⅔ innings in his latest appearance. His WHIP is a shaky 1.58 and he’s managed just one quality start in eight outings. The clear edge goes to Peterson heading into tonight.
Key Players
- New York Mets: Pete Alonso became the Mets’ franchise leader in home runs last night and will look to make an impact with his power again here.
- Atlanta Braves: The Braves’ bullpen was rocked last night and will need to steady the ship to help their team get a win tonight.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 13–5 rout of the Braves on August 12.
- The Braves had a three-game winning streak snapped with their loss to the Mets on Tuesday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Pete Alonso | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Marcell Ozuna | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Atlanta leads the season series against the Mets by a 5-3 margin.
- The Mets have won three straight games against the Braves.
- Atlanta is 21-38 on the road after Tuesday’s loss in Queens.
- The Braves are 33-34 after a loss for the year.
Braves vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 6 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Mets 54%, Braves 46%
Final Thoughts
The Mets hold a tangible edge tonight thanks to David Peterson’s pitching. Carrasco’s elevated ERA and inconsistent starts are cause for concern for the Braves against a Mets lineup that showcased how much power it has yesterday. Look for the Mets to build an early lead and hold the Braves off late. I recommend laying the runline with New York against their struggling division rivals.
