Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 8/27/2025
The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins will play a Wednesday matinee at loanDepot Park in Miami. The Braves evened this three-game series at a game apiece on Tuesday by bludgeoning the Marlins with an offensive barrage. The Braves will look for a second straight win to claim the series and the Marlins will look to take control of this three-game set back. Before the action begins from Miami, continue reading to get my Braves vs Marlins prediction for today’s game.
Our Braves vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5 runs
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 27, 2025, 1:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Joey Wentz (Braves): 4-4, 5.25 ERA
- Ryan Gusto (Marlins): 7-6, 5.05 ERA
- Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FDSFL and FDSSO
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Neither Wentz nor Gusto has delivered consistently this season. Both are carrying ERAs above five and allowing plenty of hard contact. Wentz’s control issues are a concern as he enters this start with 34 walks in 72 innings. Gusto’s susceptibility to long balls is also a problem. He has given up 14 homers in 98 innings. All of that could add up to a day where both offenses put up some big numbers.
Key Players
- Jakob Marsee had an RBI for the Marlins in their 11-2 loss last night and Miami will look for him to contribute again today.
- Ozzie Albies is coming off a multi-HR effort in his last outing. Albies providing power alongside Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson is a big boost for the Braves offensively.
Recent team streaks
- The Braves exploded for nine ninth-inning runs to take the previous game 11-2.
- Miami had a two-game winning streak snapped in their loss to the Braves last night.
- Atlanta has won two of its last three games and they are now 12 games below .500.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Ozzie Albies | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Joey Wentz | Under 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves hold a 7-5 advantage in their season series with the Marlins.
- Atlanta has won four of the last five games between these teams.
- This is set to be the final regular-season meeting between the Braves and Marlins in 2025.
Braves vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Atlanta 5 – Miami 6
Win Probability: Atlanta 50%, Miami 50%
Final Thoughts
This game could go either way as far as I’m concerned. Whichever pitcher can string together solid at-bats more consistently will give their team the path to victory. But I’m not holding my breath that either pitcher will perform at a consistently high level in this game. My best bet for this contest is the over, as I think that both offenses will have periods of success against the bad starting pitching scheduled to feature today in Miami.
