Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 8/25/2025
The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins will begin a three-game series on Monday night in Miami. The Marlins enter this game ahead of the Braves in the standings. They will look to put the Braves further behind them with a win in this contest. Here, I have broken down this NL East matchup and you can find my Braves vs Marlins prediction below.
Our Braves vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Marlins ML
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Monday, August 25, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Spencer Strider (Braves) vs Edward Cabrera (Marlins)
- Stadium: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FDSFL and FDSSO
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Spencer Strider enters with a 5–11 record and a 5.24 ERA. His recent performances have been shaky. That includes a rough outing where he allowed seven earned runs in three innings against the White Sox. He averages about 5.2 innings per start and has recorded seven quality starts this season.
Miami’s Edward Cabrera brings a 6–7 record with a solid 3.52 ERA into this game. He has 16 starts of at least five innings and three shutout appearances this year. His last outing resulted in four earned runs over 4.1 innings against St. Louis and he will look to bounce back in this game.
Recent team streaks
- Atlanta lost two out of three games against the New York Mets over the weekend. They won the final game of that series before going into this three-game set with Miami.
- The Marlins lost two out of their three games against the Toronto Blue Jays. They also won the final game of that series and will aim to build on that win tonight.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Edward Cabrera | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Spencer Strider | Under 6.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Atlanta leads the season series between these teams 6-4 in 2025.
- Atlanta has won three straight games over the Marlins going into this matchup.
- Atlanta is 42-46 in night games this season.
- Miami is 30-44 in their night games on the year.
Braves vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Marlins 53%, Braves 47%
Final Thoughts
This is expected to be a tight game between division rivals and I think that’s exactly what we’ll get. In the end, Miami’s advantage on the mound is too much for me to ignore. Edward Cabrera is simply pitching better than Spencer Strider right now, even if Strider has had a good career overall. I’ll go with the Marlins as a slight underdog to get this win at home and continue to outperform the Braves in the NL East standings.
