The Detroit Tigers and Atlanta Braves will square off on Sunday in the finale of their three-game series at Comerica Park. Detroit enters the game clinging to a slim lead in the AL Central after a rough stretch of games. Atlanta has nothing but pride and momentum and they have responded well to that situation of late. Here, I break down this interleague matchup and give you my Braves vs Tigers prediction for today’s matchup.
Our Braves vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Tigers Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Sunday, September 21, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Casey Mize (Tigers) vs Spencer Strider (Braves)
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
- Casey Mize is 14-5 with a 3.88 ERA through 26 starts and 137 innings. He has 126 strikeouts and strong advanced metrics that should help him to match up well against the surging offense of the Braves.
- Spencer Strider is 6-13 with a 4.64 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s had some rough outings throughout the season and has failed to live up to expectations after some productive recent years for the Braves.
Recent team streaks
- The Braves have won seven straight games and have won each game of this series so far.
- The Tigers have dropped five games in a row. Their lead in the AL Central has been trimmed to just one game thanks to their losing streak and a winning streak for the Cleveland Guardians.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Spencer Strider | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves lead the season series 2-0 over the Tigers this season.
- This is the final game these teams will play in the 2025 season.
- Each of the first two games between these teams has gone over the total.
- Both games of this series have seen 11 total runs scored.
Braves vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Tigers 5 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Tigers 55%, Braves 45%
Final Thoughts
Detroit holds the edge in this series finale. They have better pitching with Mize, home-field advantage, and they should be able to get to Strider early on. One would think that this has to be the game where the losing streak ends for the Tigers. I’ll take my chances with Detroit to stop the bleeding and get a key win for their playoff hopes.
