Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction – 8/17/2025
The Atlanta Braves have had a rough season in 2025. But they are having a great series against the Cleveland Guardians this weekend. Atlanta has won two straight against Cleveland and will look to close out a three-game sweep against the Guardians on Sunday afternoon. Before the first pitch between these two teams on Sunday, keep reading to get my thoughts on the game and my Braves vs Guardians prediction.
Our Braves vs Guardians Pick
- Pick: Cleveland Guardians moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
- MLB Sunday Bonus Bets: Before this game, hit the Claim Bonus button to grab our DraftKings promo code. You can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets INSTANTLY and save over $200 on NFL Sunday Ticket!
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Over $200 Off NFL Sunday Ticket
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ 
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Over $200 Off NFL Sunday Ticket
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves at Cleveland Guardians
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Braves – Erick Fedde
- Guardians – Logan Allen
- Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CLEG, FDSSO
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Erick Fedde has struggled all season for the Braves. He has allowed at least three runs in eight consecutive starts and carries a hefty 5.40 ERA. The Braves may have to win in spite of Fedde instead of because of him. Cleveland turns to Logan Allen on the hill for this game. His 3.94 ERA and 4.41 FIP signify that he has better control and consistency than Fedde. The Guardians have the edge on the mound going into this series finale.
Key Players
Michael Harris II hit an absolute bomb of a home run on Saturday for the Braves to help them break things open. Hitters like Harris are incredibly important to a Braves lineup that hasn’t been able to count on Ronald Acuna Jr. often this year. Brayan Rocchio of the Guardians hit his second home run of the season on Saturday and his production at the bottom of the order would be nice to have for Cleveland on Sunday.
Recent team streaks
The Braves enter this game on a four-game winning streak. They are still 13 games below .500 for the year. Cleveland has lost two games in a row and they have dropped three of their last four.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| José Ramírez | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Erick Fedde | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
The Braves hold a 2-0 lead in the season series between these teams. Atlanta has outscored Cleveland 12-1 over the first two games of this series. Cleveland will need to find some kind of offense if they want to avoid the sweep in Sunday’s matchup against the struggling Braves.
Braves vs Guardians Model Projection
Score Projection: Guardians 5 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Guardians 54%, Braves 46%
Final Thoughts
My model predicts a win for the Cleveland Guardians in this contest. Cleveland has a starting pitching advantage with Allen on the mound against the struggling Fedde. I think that Cleveland will find a way to get its offense going against a starting pitcher who has had a hard time both with the Cardinals and Braves this season.
