Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 7/31/2025
The Atlanta Braves will take on the Cincinnati Reds in the opening game of a series from Great American Ball Park on Thursday night. Atlanta is once again struggling coming into this series and is running out of time to turn things around and contend for a playoff berth. Cincinnati is playing better baseball and will look to keep it that way tonight. For a full breakdown of this game, including my Braves vs Reds prediction, continue reading below.
Our Braves vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Reds Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Bonus Bets For This Game: Get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn’t win. Click the Claim Bonus button below and sign up with BetMGM bonus code ATSBONUS!
Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds |
| Date & Time | July 31, 2025, 7:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Carlos Carrasco vs. Andrew Abbott |
| Stadium | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Broadcast | MLB Network |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Cincinnati has a clear advantage in the starting pitching department in this game. The Reds have Andrew Abbott on the mound against Atlanta’s Carlos Carrasco. Abbott is 8-1 with a 2.09 ERA on the season and has allowed just 83 hits in 103.1 innings of work. Carrasco has struggled with a 2-2 record and a 5.91 ERA.
Bullpen Usage: The Braves bullpen has been worked hard recently. They played in a few high-scoring games against the Kansas City Royals this week before losing 1-0 in 10 innings on Wednesday. Cincinnati’s bullpen should be the fresher unit coming into this series opener.
Team Momentum: The Braves have been inconsistent all year long. They are 17 games below .500 and are dealing with another injury to Ronald Acuna Jr. Cincinnati is in the playoff chase and playing much better baseball than the Braves right now.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Elly De La Cruz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Andrew Abbott | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
Last 5 games: The Braves are 1-4 over their last five games. The Reds are 3–2 and are coming off of a win over the LA Dodgers last night.
Day/Night Splits: The Braves are 33-38 in night games this season. The Reds are 32-29 at night.
Head-to-Head Results: The Braves lead the season series against the Reds 3-1. They took three out of four games in a series against the Reds in early May. But the Reds have looked much better as a team since then and the Braves have not looked better than they did early in the year.
Braves vs Reds Model Projection
Projected Score: Braves 3 – Reds 4
Win Probability: Braves 45% | Reds 55%
Final Thoughts
The Braves being underdogs in Cincinnati is not something I would have expected going into this season. But that designation is completely justified based on how these two teams have played for most of this year. Look for the Reds to continue to play well at home and for the Braves’ struggles on the season to continue. I will back the Reds to get the win in this game behind a strong pitching performance from Abbott.
