Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction – 9/3/2025
The Atlanta Braves will conclude their three-game series against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Wednesday night. The Cubs have taken the first two games of this series and are favored against the struggling Braves again here tonight. Before these National League clubs face off, keep reading to get my Braves vs Cubs prediction for tonight.
Our Braves vs Cubs Pick
- Pick: Cubs -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 3, 2025, 7:40 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Bryce Elder (ATL) vs. Cade Horton (CHC)
- Stadium: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Bryce Elder (ATL):
- Record: 5-9
- ERA: 5.85
- WHIP: 1.48
- Elder allowed one earned run over seven innings against the Phillies in his last start. That start showed that he has potential despite what has been a challenging season.
Cade Horton (CHC):
- Record: 9-4
- ERA: 2.92
- WHIP: 1.19
- Horton has been a standout for the Cubs. He enters this start with a top-20 ERA in the league and a strong strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Key Players
- Matt Olson leads the Braves in home runs, RBI, and batting average. The Braves need him to produce to have any chance of avoiding the sweep.
- Chicago Cubs: Bats like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Tucker will be key in this game as they have an opportunity to hit well against a pitcher in Elder who has struggled for most of the year.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Braves have lost two straight games and four of their last five.
- The Cubs have won two games in a row and four of their last five overall.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Over 0.5 HR |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Over 0.5 SB |
| Cade Horton | Over 6.5 K |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Cubs have a 2-0 lead in the season series against the Braves.
- Both games in this series have been decided by one run each.
- The over/under is 1-1 in the two games between these teams so far this year.
Braves vs Cubs Model Projection
- Score Projection: Cubs 5, Braves 3
- Win Probability: Cubs 60%, Braves 40%
Final Thoughts
The Braves are 15 games under .500 this season. They are also 15 games under .500 on the road. Atlanta has simply ruined its season by not being able to perform away from Truist Park. I expect that trend to continue in this game. I recommend laying the runline with Chicago here, as they should take advantage of Atlanta’s woes on the road.
