Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction – 9/1/2025
The Chicago Cubs will host the Atlanta Braves on Monday afternoon for a Labor Day matchup at Wrigley Field. The Braves are looking to bounce back from another disappointing series and are slight underdogs on the road against a Cubs team looking to help its playoff chances. Before this National League matchup begins, continue reading to get my Braves vs Cubs prediction.
Our Braves vs Cubs Pick
- Pick: Cubs Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
- Date & Time: Monday, September 1, 2025, 4:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Spencer Strider vs Colin Rea
- Stadium: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: MARQ and FDSSO
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Colin Rea has been solid for the Cubs this season at 10-6 with a 4.23 ERA and roughly 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. His contact-heavy style could benefit from Wrigley’s wind blowing in. Spencer Strider has struggled with a 5-12 record and 4.95 ERA for the Braves. He has endured multiple rough outings in his last four starts. He has allowed five or more runs three times in that span.
Key Players
- Cubs: Kyle Tucker has been a spark with a .270 average, 21 homers, and a recent hot streak. Seiya Suzuki enters on a three-game hitting streak and has 89 RBI. Nico Hoerner leads the team in batting average at .289 with Pete Crow-Armstrong providing 28 home runs to lead the team in that department.
- Braves: Matt Olson leads the Braves in average (.269), homers (21), and RBI (77). He brings a five-game hitting streak into this game. Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna continue to supply power for a lineup that needs a spark of its own.
Recent team streaks
The Braves lost three of four games against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They won the final game of that series on Sunday night. Chicago has taken two out of three games against the Colorado Rockies before beginning this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (Cubs) | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Colin Rea (Cubs) | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game of the season series between the Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves.
- These teams will play six games against each other in the month of September.
- Atlanta is 29-42 in road games so far this season.
- The Cubs are 41-25 at home in 2025.
Braves vs Cubs Model Projection
Score Projection: Cubs 5 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Cubs 56%, Braves 44%
Final Thoughts
The Braves have been a disappointment on the road throughout this season. Spencer Strider has not been the same pitcher that he has been in seasons past. And the Cubs have been dominant in the friendly confines of Wrigley Field in 2025. All of that should add up to the Cubs getting a win in this series opener in the Windy City.
