Athletics vs Houston Astros Pick – 7/27/2025
The Athletics and Houston Astros are set to conclude their four-game series at Daikin Park on Sunday. The Astros are in first place in the AL West this season. But they have had trouble with the last-place Athletics in this series. The A’s will aim to complete a four-game sweep with a win in this contest. Here, I break down the final game of this four-game set and make my Athletics vs Astros prediction for the day.
Our Athletics vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Houston Astros to win
- Confidence: 3 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Athletics vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025, 2:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: J.T. Ginn (OAK) vs Colton Gordon (HOU)
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: NBC Sports California, Space City Home Network
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
J.T. Ginn is slated to start for the Athletics today. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA for the year. Ginn allowed just one run over five innings against the Rangers in his last start and will look for a repeat performance here. But he faces a dangerous Astros lineup that could wake up at any time.
Colton Gordon is 4-2 and has a 4.53 ERA. He will take the mound for Houston. Gordon will look to help the Astros hold the Athletics to under five runs for the first time in this series. His performance will be crucial in securing a win for the Astros.
Key Players
- Nick Kurtz (OAK): The rookie sensation made headlines by hitting four home runs in a single game earlier in this series. He became the first MLB rookie to achieve that feat.
- Brent Rooker (OAK): Rooker is a consistent performer for the Athletics. That consistency will be key to the Astros completing a sweep today.
- Jose Altuve (HOU): Altuve is leading the Astros with 53 RBI. He remains a central figure in Houston’s batting order.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Athletics have won three consecutive games coming into this contest.
- The Astros have lost three in a row. That erases the progress they made in their three-game sweep of the Diamondbacks before this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Jose Altuve | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Brent Rooker | Over 0.5 RBIs |
| Yainer Diaz | Over 0.5 RBIs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Athletics lead the season series between these teams 5-4.
- After this game, these teams have three more games scheduled against each other this year.
- The A’s are 25-31 on the road despite winning three straight road games against the Astros.
- The Astros are 33-22 at home despite their three-game home losing streak.
Athletics vs Astros Model Projection
- Score Projection: Athletics 4 – Astros 5
- Win Probability: Athletics 46.5%, Astros 57.8%
Final Thoughts
The Athletics are playing some high-level baseball in this series and they deserve a ton of credit for winning three straight over the Astros. But at some point I expect these teams to regress to their typical level of performance. The Astros should get a win today to salvage a game from what has been a nightmare series for them so far.
