Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians Pick – 7/19/2025

The Cleveland Guardians won a high-scoring game over the Athletics on Friday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians will host the Athletics again on Saturday. Cleveland is a favorite to pick up another win over the A’s in this game. Here, I take a closer look at this contest between American League opponents and make my Athletics vs Guardians prediction for the game.

Our Athletics vs Guardians Pick

• Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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4.8/5

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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 19, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Athletics: Luis Severino
  • Guardians: Logan Allen
• Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
• Broadcast: CLEG and NBCS-CA

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Luis Severino has struggled with a 2-11 record and a 5.16 ERA. He has allowed 122 hits in 113.1 innings of work and needs to do better for the A’s to have a chance tonight. Logan Allen has a 6-7 record and a 4.00 ERA. He and Severino have both struggled with issuing walks this season and control will be a huge factor for both in this game.
• Bullpen usage: Both bullpens saw plenty of action in last night’s 8-6 game in favor of the Guardians. The bullpen that does a better job of bouncing back in this game will give their team an edge tonight.
• Recent team streaks: The Guardians have won three straight games coming into tonight. The Athletics are 3-2 over their last five outings and had a two-game winning streak snapped last night.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Guardians lead the season series between these teams 3-1.
• Three of the four games between these teams went under their respective totals. The lone exception to that trend came in last night’s game.

Athletics vs Guardians Model Projection

Score Projection: Athletics 3 – Guardians 5

Win Probability: Athletics 42%, Guardians 58%

Final Thoughts

I expect the Cleveland Guardians to win a second straight game over the Athletics in this series. Severino’s struggles on the mound have been well documented for the A’s. While he might not take his 12th loss of the season, he will still be vulnerable against the Cleveland offense. Look for the Guardians to take an early lead and to hold onto it the rest of the way.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.