Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Pick – 8/8/2025
The Athletics were expected to be below .500 this season and the Baltimore Orioles were not. But they have nearly identical records going into the first game of their three-game weekend series on Friday night. Both teams are coming off a win in their last game and will look for a second straight in this American League matchup. Below you will find my analysis for this game, including my Athletics vs Orioles prediction.
Our Athletics vs Orioles Pick
- Pick: Baltimore Orioles moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date & Time: Friday, August 8, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Athletics – J.T. Ginn (2-3, 4.28 ERA)
- Orioles – Tomoyuki Sugano (8–5, 4.42 ERA)
- Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN and NBCS-CA
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
J.T. Ginn steps onto the mound for the Athletics with a 2-3 record and a 4.28 ERA. Ginn gave up four earned runs in 4.1 innings of work against the Arizona Diamondbacks in his last outing. He is 1-1 with a 2.82 ERA on the road this year. Tomoyuki Sugano is 8-5 with a 4.42 ERA for the Orioles this season. Sugano has gone a little over a month since he last took a loss. The Orioles are 3-1 in the last four games that Sugano has started.
Key Players
- Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .283 batting average. He also has 13 home runs and 47 RBI.
- Jackson Holliday leads the Orioles with 14 home runs and will look to help the Orioles win with his power.
- Adley Rutschman is batting .282 over his last 10 games for Baltimore.
- Brent Rooker paces the Athletics with 23 home runs and Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 67 RBI.
- Shea Langeliers and Nick Kurtz each have over 20 homers and inject additional power into Oakland’s lineup.
Recent team streaks
- The Athletics have won two of their last three games and won their last series over the Washington Nationals.
- Baltimore snapped a three-game losing streak with a win in their last game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | O/U |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) | RBI | Over 0.5 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Athletics are 2-1 against the Orioles so far this season.
- The Orioles are 37-42 against American League opponents. The Athletics are 36-42 against teams from the AL.
- Baltimore is 50-60-5 on over/unders this year. The Athletics are 58-53-6 on their totals.
Athletics vs Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Orioles 5 – Athletics 4
Win Probability: Orioles 53%, Athletics 47%
Final Thoughts
This game is close to a pick ’em, but I think the Orioles have an advantage in this game. The O’s have been decent at home this year and should benefit from not having to play an elite team like the Phillies and Cubs squads they just got done facing. My best bet for this game is for the Orioles to win at home.
