Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 6/19/2025

On June 19, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Rogers Centre in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup. Both teams enter this game with slightly different trajectories; the Blue Jays are currently 40-33, enjoying an above-average season, while the Diamondbacks sit at 36-37, marking an average year by comparison.

In their previous matchup, the Blue Jays edged out the Diamondbacks, adding pressure on Arizona to even the score. Toronto is projected to start Kevin Gausman, a right-handed pitcher with a mixed bag of results this year. Gausman has a Win/Loss record of 5-5 and a 4.08 ERA, suggesting he has been somewhat unlucky, as indicated by his 3.55 xFIP. He is facing Ryne Nelson, who has a below-average profile, with a 4.14 ERA and a low strikeout rate at 19.8%. This matchup could favor the Blue Jays, as they lead the league in fewest strikeouts, making it harder for Nelson to capitalize on his strengths.

Offensively, the Blue Jays rank 14th in MLB, showcasing a balanced attack with a solid batting average of .267, which ranks 6th. In contrast, the Diamondbacks boast the 3rd best offense in the league, particularly excelling in home runs, where they rank 3rd. However, their recent form suggests the Blue Jays’ bullpen, ranked 3rd overall, could be a decisive factor in late-game situations.

With the Blue Jays' implied team total set at 4.50 runs, their strong offensive capabilities, coupled with Gausman’s potential for improvement, could make them a valuable betting option in this tightly contested game.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season

• When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.88, Toronto Blue Jays 4.78

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ryne Nelson - D-Backs
  • Kevin Gausman - Blue Jays

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