Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Pick – 8/11/2025
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Texas Rangers faced off in a World Series not too long ago. But both teams are in danger of missing the playoffs this year. The D-Backs and Rangers will open a three-game series on Monday night. Both teams will be searching for a win to help their chances in their respective Wild Card races. Before the action begins in Arlington, continue reading to get my Diamondbacks vs Rangers prediction.
Our Diamondbacks vs Rangers Pick
- Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, 8:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Ryne Nelson (Arizona) vs Nathan Eovaldi (Texas)
- Stadium: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: RSN and ARID
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Ryne Nelson is 6-3 with a 3.20 ERA and he takes the mound for Arizona in this game. His 1.05 WHIP is certainly impressive. But it is also not as good as that of Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi. Eovaldi is 10-3 and has a 1.38 ERA this season. Eovaldi has allowed just five home runs in 111 innings of work this year and he will look to continue mowing down opposing batters here.
Key Players
Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte both have over 20 home runs this season and will try to get Eovaldi to give up some rare longballs in this contest. Corey Seager leads the Rangers in both batting average and home runs. His ability to hit for both average and power will be important in this game.
Recent Team Streaks
Texas enters this game looking to snap a four-game losing streak. They suffered a home sweep at the hands of Philadelphia over the weekend. Arizona has won three straight games going into this series. However, those three wins came against the worst team in the league in the Colorado Rockies.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Ketel Marte | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Corey Seager | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game in the season series between these teams this year.
- Arizona and Texas will play six times between now and the end of the regular season.
- Arizona is 27-31 on the road this year.
- Texas is 36-24 at home in 2025.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Model Projection
Score Projection: Diamondbacks 3 – Rangers 5
Win Probability: Diamondbacks 33%, Rangers 67%
Final Thoughts
Any time you can back Nathan Eovaldi to deliver for the Rangers, you almost have to do it at this point. Eovaldi might be a top-three pitcher in baseball right now alongside Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes. I will gladly back the Rangers with Eovaldi on the mound and take my chances with whatever happens. Laying the runline with the Rangers at a plus price is also an appealing option for those with more risk tolerance.
