Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Pick – 8/17/2025
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver on Sunday. The Rockies have won two of the first three games of this four-game series and have done significant damage to the Diamondbacks’ Wild Card hopes of late. The Diamondbacks will try to salvage a split from this series with a win today. Below, you will find a full breakdown of this contest, including my Diamondbacks vs Rockies prediction.
Our Diamondbacks vs Rockies Pick
- Pick: Over 12.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Nabil Crismatt (Arizona) vs. Antonio Senzatela (Colorado)
- Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: DBTV, ROTV
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Antonio Senzatela is expected to start for the Rockies. He is making his first appearance since August 1 due to a finger injury. Senzatela has struggled this season. He has a 4-14 record with a 7.34 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP over 103 innings. His extended layoff and his season-long inconsistencies raise concerns about his ability to perform here.
Nabil Crismatt will get the start for the Diamondbacks here. This is his first appearance of the 2025 season and he will look to make his mark for the Diamondbacks today.
Standings Situation
The Diamondbacks have faltered this weekend. They have dropped to 5.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Losing twice as a favorite to the worst team in baseball is certainly not encouraging stuff from the D-Backs and they will look to get back on track in this game.
Recent Team Streaks
The Diamondbacks have lost two games in a row coming into this series finale in Denver. The Rockies have won two games in a row and four of their last five. They still have the worst record in baseball by a comfortable margin.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Ketel Marte | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Hunter Goodman | RBIs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Diamondbacks lead the season series with the Rockies 8-4 in 2025.
- The under is 2-1 during the current series between the Rockies and Diamondbacks.
- Arizona is 30-34 on the road for the season.
- The Rockies are 18-43 at home despite winning two straight at Coors Field.
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Model Projection
- Score Projection: Arizona 7 – Colorado 6
- Win Probability: Arizona 54%, Colorado 46%
Final Thoughts
I don’t exactly think we are in for a pitcher’s duel when the Diamondbacks and Rockies face one another on Sunday afternoon. One side is going with a debuting pitcher and the other is going with the worst starting pitcher in MLB this season. As a result, I think we see this game go over the total and for there to be a ton of runs scored.
