Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction – 4/20/2025

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

As the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks face off at Wrigley Field on April 20, 2025, both teams are riding high with solid performances this season. The Cubs enter the matchup with a record of 14-9, while the Diamondbacks are slightly behind at 12-9. This game marks the third in their series, and both squads are looking to gain momentum as they contend within the National League.

In their last encounter, the Cubs showcased their offensive prowess, winning decisively and solidifying their standing as the 3rd best offense in MLB, ranked by team batting average, home runs, and stolen bases. The Diamondbacks, however, boast the top offense overall, making this matchup particularly intriguing. The Cubs' offensive capabilities might be further amplified against Merrill Kelly, who struggles with a high-walk rate of 10.9%, which could play to the Cubs' strength as they lead the league in walks.

On the mound, Jameson Taillon is projected to start for the Cubs, and while he has an average Win/Loss record of 1-1, his advanced metrics suggest that he has been somewhat unlucky this season. His 5.40 ERA is concerning, but his 4.09 xFIP indicates he may find better results moving forward. In contrast, Merrill Kelly’s 5.57 ERA is worse, and while he has a better Win/Loss record of 3-1, his peripheral indicators suggest he too could improve.

With the game total set at a low 7.5 runs, the Cubs are favored with a moneyline of -130, reflecting a close contest ahead. As both teams aim for a crucial win in this competitive matchup, the Cubs will be looking to leverage their offensive strengths against Kelly, while the Diamondbacks hope to exploit Taillon's vulnerabilities.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Chicago Cubs:

The Chicago Cubs project to score the 4th-least runs of the day, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games at home (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.15, Chicago Cubs 3.61

• Date: April 20, 2025
• Venue: Wrigley Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Merrill Kelly - D-Backs
  • Jameson Taillon - Cubs

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