Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 7, 2024

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Prediction 8/7/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Details

  • Date: August 7, 2024
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Brandon Pfaadt - D-Backs
    • Ben Lively - Guardians

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: D-Backs -110, Guardians -110
Runline: D-Backs -1.5 +154, Guardians 1.5 -185
Over/Under Total: 7.5

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Arizona Diamondbacks - 52.38% Arizona Diamondbacks - 46.78%
Cleveland Guardians - 52.38% Cleveland Guardians - 53.22%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Betting Preview

On Wednesday afternoon, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians will face off in the first game of a double-header from Progressive Field in Cleveland after their game on Tuesday was postponed due to inclement weather. The Guardians enter the day's action in first place in the AL Central with a record of 67-45, while the Diamondbacks are in third place in the NL West at 61-52.

On the mound, the Guardians will send Ben Lively to the hill. Even though he holds a solid 3.42 ERA, advanced metrics suggest he has been somewhat fortunate this season, ranking as the 229th best starting pitcher in MLB. Lively’s last outing was promising, allowing just two earned runs over six innings, but the projections indicate he might struggle against Arizona’s potent lineup, which ranks 5th in overall offense.

Brandon Pfaadt counters for the Diamondbacks, bringing a respectable 3.97 ERA. Though his luck hasn’t been optimal, he’s projected to pitch slightly better today. Betting markets give Cleveland an implied win probability of just 52.38%, but projections suggest they could outperform that expectation. With a close game anticipated, the Guardians may present value for bettors looking to back a team with potential to bounce back after losing to the Diamondbacks in their last completed game on Monday.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3.92 vs Cleveland Guardians 4.21

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
49% ARI
-115
51% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-115
2% UN
8.5/-105
98% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+154
31% ARI
+1.5/-185
69% CLE

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
ARI
Team Stats
CLE
4.66
ERA
3.76
.253
Batting Avg Against
.240
1.35
WHIP
1.27
.300
BABIP
.286
8.6%
BB%
8.3%
21.9%
K%
21.3%
70.1%
LOB%
74.3%
.254
Batting Avg
.250
.420
SLG
.380
.742
OPS
.693
.323
OBP
.313
ARI
Team Records
CLE
42-33
Home
46-28
41-35
Road
41-37
57-39
vRHP
58-54
26-29
vLHP
29-11
38-45
vs>.500
42-41
45-23
vs<.500
45-24
4-6
Last10
6-4
8-12
Last20
12-8
15-15
Last30
15-15
B. Pfaadt
B. Lively
54.2
Innings
N/A
11
GS
N/A
0-6
W-L
N/A
6.91
ERA
N/A
8.23
K/9
N/A
2.63
BB/9
N/A
2.30
HR/9
N/A
65.7%
LOB%
N/A
19.7%
HR/FB%
N/A
5.76
FIP
N/A
4.55
xFIP
N/A
.296
AVG
N/A
20.5%
K%
N/A
6.6%
BB%
N/A
4.50
SIERA
N/A

B. Pfaadt

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

B. Lively

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/26 ARI
Koch 118
L2-8 9
2.1
7
7
7
1
4
37-67
4/20 PIT
Nova -101
W2-1 8
6
5
1
1
4
3
56-96
4/15 TBA
Yarbrough -140
W10-4 8
4
7
3
3
5
0
41-66
4/9 CIN
Reed 119
W6-5 9
5.2
9
5
5
7
2
65-100
4/3 NYN
Harvey -125
L0-2 7.5
5.2
6
2
2
5
1
62-91

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ARI CLE
ARI CLE
Consensus
-125
+108
-105
-115
-142
+120
-105
-115
-126
+108
-102
-116
-139
+118
-103
-115
-140
+118
-105
-115
-140
+115
-110
-110
Open
Current
Book
ARI CLE
ARI CLE
Consensus
-1.5 (+129)
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+156)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+132)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+117)
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+122)
+1.5 (-145)
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.5 (-145)
7.5 (+115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-117)
8.5 (+110)
8.5 (-130)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
8.5 (+102)
8.5 (-124)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (+110)
8.5 (-130)
8.0 (-125)
8.0 (+105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)