The Indian Premier League regular season will see its penultimate day on Monday, 26 May 2025, when Punjab Kings host Mumbai Indians at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium in Jaipur. With both sides still chasing a coveted top-two finish, every delivery will carry huge playoff ramifications. PBKS still sit second on the table with 17 points but dropped momentum after a six-wicket defeat to Delhi Capitals on Saturday night, while Mumbai have surged into fourth on 16 points thanks to a crushing 59-run victory over the Delhi Capitals and a run of seven wins in their last nine outings. Net run rate could yet prove decisive, so expect aggressive cricket from the outset.
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Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Match Preview
Punjab entered the weekend on the brink of sealing a Qualifier 1 berth, yet their bowlers leaked 208 as Delhi hunted down 207 with three balls to spare. Captain Shreyas Iyer’s form with the bat remains a bright spot, as 53 against Delhi followed an unbeaten 82 against Rajasthan on 18 May, but his attack looked one-dimensional once early swing disappeared.
Mumbai, in contrast, have unlocked their best cricket at the perfect moment. Suryakumar Yadav blasted 73 from 43 to bury Delhi in Match 63, ably supported by all-rounder Naman Dhir, while Mitchell Santner’s left-arm spin and Jasprit Bumrah’s laser-guided yorkers throttled the chase. Hardik Pandya’s side now possesses the tournament’s highest net run rate and can leapfrog Punjab with a win, potentially climbing into the top two should other results fall their way.
The Jaipur track has produced balanced contests this season, offering early seam movement before slowing enough for cutters and spin. Average first-innings totals hover around 165, though Punjab smashed 206 here two nights ago, underlining the value of set batters accelerating late. Clear skies and a temperature near 30 °C are forecast, with little humidity and no rain threat.
Betting Insights
Bookmakers have installed Mumbai as clear favourites with one of India’s best bookmakers, Dafabet, putting them at odds of 1.69. Punjab are offered at 2.18. The shorter price on Mumbai reflects their superior net run rate, stronger recent form, and a head-to-head edge of 17 wins to Punjab’s 15 over 32 meetings.
- Recent five matches – Punjab: L W W W N (loss to Delhi followed by wins over Rajasthan, Lucknow, Chennai and wash-out vs KKR)
- Recent five matches – Mumbai: W L W W W (wins over Delhi, Rajasthan, Lucknow, Sunrisers; narrow DLS loss to Gujarat)
- Key run-scorers 2025: Suryakumar Yadav (MI) 583, Shreyas Iyer (PBKS) 488
- Key wicket-takers 2025: Trent Boult (MI) 19, Jasprit Bumrah (MI) 16, Arshdeep Singh (PBKS) 16
Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Lineups
Probable Punjab Kings XI
- Prabhsimran Singh – wicket-keeper
- Priyansh Arya
- Shreyas Iyer – captain
- Josh Inglis
- Marcus Stoinis
- Shashank Singh
- Azmatullah Omarzai
- Harpreet Brar
- Marco Jansen
- Pravin Dubey
- Arshdeep Singh
Probable Mumbai Indians XI
- Rohit Sharma
- Ryan Rickleton – wicket-keeper
- Suryakumar Yadav
- Tilak Varma
- Will Jacks
- Hardik Pandya – captain
- Naman Dhir
- Mitchell Santner
- Trent Boult
- Jasprit Bumrah
- Ashwani Kumar
Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Prediction
This contest looks set to be decided by powerplay dominance and death-overs execution. If Bumrah removes Iyer early, Punjab could struggle to post a par score. Conversely, Punjab’s best route to victory lies in Stoinis and Inglis exploiting the short straight boundaries in Jaipur against Mumbai’s fifth bowler quota. Santner offers guile, yet Hardik has leaked 9.2 per over this season. A platform of 90-plus by the halfway mark would tilt the contest back to Punjab.
Taking current form, bowling depth, and net run rate supremacy into account, Mumbai Indians hold the decisive advantages. Expect Hardik’s men to chase down any target below 185 or defend anything above 175 with their varied attack. The recommended wager is on Mumbai Indians to win, while prop bettors could consider Suryakumar Yadav to top-score for Mumbai and Bumrah to take over 1.5 wickets.
Prediction: Mumbai Indians to win by five wickets or 25 runs, securing a top-two finish and consigning Punjab to the Eliminator.
