Utah State and Texas A&M will battle to find out which Aggies are superior as they face off on Saturday. Texas A&M is a huge favorite at home after winning by double-digits in their season opener. Here, I take a closer look at this Week 2 game and give you my Utah State vs Texas A&M prediction from College Station.
My Utah State vs Texas A&M Pick
- Pick: Texas A&M -31.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Utah State Aggies vs Texas A&M Aggies
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 12:45 p.m. EDT
- Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
- Broadcast: SEC Network
Utah State vs Texas A&M Odds
| Betting Odds | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | -31.5 | Over 54.5 |
| Utah State | +31.5 | Under 54.5 |
Key Storylines
Utah State’s Offensive Challenges
Utah State enters this game with a 1-0 record after securing a 28-16 victory over UTEP last week. But their offense should face significant hurdles against the Texas A&M defense. Utah State averaged just 16.0 points per game and ranked 126th in third-down conversion percentage at 16.7% last year. One good game against a bad UTEP team might not be enough to erase that against an opponent like A&M.
Bryson Barnes got the win as the starting quarterback for Utah State last week. He completed 19 of his 28 pass attempts for 233 yards and a touchdown against UTEP. This will be a much better litmus test for what Barnes brings to the table as the signal caller for Utah State going forward.
Texas A&M’s Offensive Firepower
Texas A&M is also 1-0 after a 42-24 win over UTSA. They got an encouraging start out of quarterback Marcel Reed in his debut as the full-time starter in Aggieland. Reed had four touchdown passes and compiled over 300 all-purpose yards between his passing and rushing. Another strong showing from Reed in this game could get the hype train into gear just a couple of weeks before SEC play begins.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Both of these teams are 1-0 against the spread so far this season.
- These teams have played just once all-time going into this matchup. Texas A&M won that game 38-30 in what was a reasonably close game in College Station.
- Both teams have shown strong red zone efficiency. They both scored on 100% of their trips in Week 1.
Utah State vs Texas A&M Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas A&M 56 – Utah State 14
Win Probability: Texas A&M 97%, Utah State 3%
Final Thoughts
Utah State looked pretty good last week to get a victory in their season opener. But they should be in for a tough day at the office against a very good Texas A&M team. Marcel Reed looked excellent in Week 1 and we should see him continue to look good in this contest. I’ll lay the points with A&M here in what should be a lopsided game at Kyle Field.
