The Turnpike Classic will come back to Stillwater as Tulsa visits Oklahoma State on Friday night. Both of these teams are winless against FBS opponents and will look to change that in this non-conference matchup. Below, you can find my analysis for this game, along with my Tulsa vs Oklahoma State prediction before kickoff between these in-state rivals.
Our Tulsa vs Oklahoma State Pick
- Pick: Oklahoma State -13.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Date & Time: Friday, September 19, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
- Broadcast: ESPN
Tulsa vs Oklahoma State Odds
| Odds | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | +13.5 | +380 | Over 53.5 |
| Oklahoma State | -13.5 | -550 | Under 53.5 |
Key Storylines
- Tulsa started its season with a win over FCS Abilene Christian. They have followed up that performance with losses to New Mexico State and Navy. Tulsa is now tasked with its toughest test of the season against an FBS opponent. The Golden Hurricane lost to NMSU on the road and isn’t expected to fare well on the road here.
- Oklahoma State opened its season with a win over UT Martin of the FCS. They have since lost 69-3 to the Oregon Ducks and they are hoping to bounce back from that result here.
- Oklahoma State had an idle week after their loss to Oregon. Their hope is that the extra time to recover will lead to a sharp performance at home in this matchup.
Quarterback Play
Zane Flores has struggled at quarterback early in the season for Oklahoma State. He has 203 passing yards through two games, with no touchdown passes and two interceptions. He was held to just 67 passing yards against Oregon and has to be better here for Oklahoma State to avoid an upset loss at home.
Tulsa’s Baylor Hayes hasn’t been much better than Flores at the quarterback position. He has completed two-thirds of his pass attempts this year. But he has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game this season and the Golden Hurricane will need more from Hayes if they are going to get back into the win column this weekend.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oklahoma State is 0-2 against the spread to start the season.
- Tulsa is 1-2 against the spread going into Week 4.
- Tulsa has had two of their first three games go under their respective totals.
- The Cowboys have split their first two games in the over/under market.
- Oklahoma State is 44-27-5 all-time against Tulsa. The Cowboys have won 10 straight games in this in-state rivalry.
Tulsa vs Oklahoma State Model Projection
Score Projection: Tulsa 17 – Oklahoma State 31
Win Probability: Tulsa 26%, Oklahoma State 74%
Final Thoughts
This is an ideal spot for Oklahoma State to try and bounce back from their horrible performance against Oregon. The Cowboys have had an extra week to overcome that defeat and they should win big against a Tulsa team that has looked out of sorts against both of their FBS opponents early on. I’ll lay the points with the Cowboys in this all-Oklahoma matchup.
