The Buffalo Bulls and Troy Trojans will face off in a non-conference matchup in college football on Saturday. Buffalo comes into this contest looking for a third consecutive win, while Troy looks to snap a two-game losing streak. Before kickoff from Western New York, continue reading to get my breakdown of this game, including my Troy vs Buffalo prediction.
Our Troy vs Buffalo Pick
- Pick: Buffalo -5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue: UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Buffalo’s Offensive Momentum
Buffalo enters this game with a 2-1 record, showcasing a balanced offensive attack. Quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson has been effective, throwing for 318 yards and three touchdowns in their recent 31-28 victory over Kent State. The Bulls’ rushing game has been led by Al-Jay Henderson and adds another dimension to their offense. The Bulls are averaging 187.7 rushing yards per game and they will look to continue moving the ball on the ground effectively here.
Troy’s Struggles on Both Sides
Troy has a 1-2 record and has faced challenges in both offensive and defensive departments. The Trojans are averaging only 20.3 points per game and allowing 25.0 points per game. But two of their games have come against Clemson and Memphis, so it may not be fair to look at the raw numbers. Either way, the Trojans will need to make significant improvements to compete effectively against Buffalo.
Quarterback Play
Buffalo’s Ta’Quan Roberson
Roberson has demonstrated efficiency in the passing game, contributing significantly to Buffalo’s offensive success. He has completed 62.5% of his passes with five touchdowns and just two interceptions.
Troy’s Goose Crowder
Goose Crowder of Troy has four touchdown passes and three interceptions on the season so far. Consistency has been hard to come by against the two elite teams that Troy has faced over their last two games. He will try to put together his best performance of the season here.
Betting Trends & H2H
Buffalo’s Recent Form
Buffalo is 2-1 against the spread to start the season. They have also gone over the total in two of their first three games of the 2025 campaign.
Troy’s Road Performance
Troy has struggled on the road, with a 1-4 straight-up record in their last five away games. They lost their only road game of this season to Clemson. Troy is 1-2 against the spread on the season.
Troy vs Buffalo Model Projection
Score Projection: Buffalo 30 – Troy 20
Win Probability: Buffalo 65%, Troy 35%
Final Thoughts
Buffalo’s offensive balance and recent form give them an edge over Troy in this matchup. Troy should look better than they have over the last two games against Clemson and Memphis. But bettors should take Buffalo covering the spread with confidence in their ability to control the game on the ground and secure a comfortable victory.
