The Oregon State Beavers and App State Mountaineers will square off in North Carolina on Saturday afternoon. The Beavers are 0-5 to start this season and are in the midst of a nightmare of a season. They will try to get their first win of the season on the road against a .500 App State team. Here, I break down this non-conference college football matchup and bring you my Oregon State vs App State prediction.
Our Oregon State vs App State Pick
- Pick: App State -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oregon State Beavers vs App State Mountaineers
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Oregon State enters the game with a 0-5 record, their worst start since 1996. The Beavers have struggled offensively, averaging just 17.4 points per game. That scoring average ranks 123rd in the FBS. Their defense has also been porous, allowing 442 yards per game, placing them 123rd nationally. Quarterback Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,165 yards and seven touchdowns but has also thrown five interceptions.
Appalachian State is 2-2 and also needs to overcome some inconsistency at quarterback. Quarterback AJ Swann has passed for 943 yards and six touchdowns but has also thrown six interceptions. The Mountaineers’ rushing attack is led by Rashod Dubinion with 513 yards and two touchdowns. That facet of their game has been more consistent than their aerial attack.
Appalachian State ranks 132nd in the FBS in penalty yards per game and 133rd in turnover margin. They need to pay more attention to detail if they want to prolong Oregon State’s losing streak.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oregon State is 1-4 against the spread and 0-5 straight up on the season.
- The Beavers have gone over the total in three of their first five games on the year.
- App State is 1-3 against the spread during the 2025 college football season.
- App State is 2-2 on over/unders heading into this matchup.
Oregon State vs App State Model Projection
Score Projection: Appalachian State 28 – Oregon State 24
Win Probability: Appalachian State 55%, Oregon State 45%
Final Thoughts
Oregon State has struggled so far this season on both sides of the ball. I expect that to continue to be the case on the road in this contest against a solid App State squad. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home going into this game and they should continue their winning ways at home against a winless opponent here. I will lay the points with App State in this matchup, as their offense should be able to get things going through the air against the Beavers.
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