North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

Sep 28, 2024

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

North Carolina vs Duke Betting Pick & Preview – 9/28/2024

On September 28, 2024, the North Carolina Tar Heels will go head-to-head with the Duke Blue Devils at 4:00 pm ET. The odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Tar Heels as 2.5-point underdogs. Currently, 66% of spread bets are on the Tar Heels, while 34% are on the Blue Devils. The total of 56 points has seen 58% of bets on the under and 42% on the over. The matchup promises to be an exciting one as these two rivals battle it out on the field. Here, we break down North Carolina vs Duke in football's version of the Tobacco Road rivalry.

North Carolina Defense Under Scrutiny After Last Week

Last week may have been a look ahead spot for the North Carolina Tar Heels with this North Carolina vs Duke matchup looming. But to call the performance of the Tar Heels embarrassing last week would be an understatement. They gave up 70 points to the James Madison Dukes, losing 70-50 at home in a game where the Heels could not buy a stop. This week, North Carolina has to be better on defense if they want to avoid a second loss in a row and a loss in their first ACC contest of the 2024 season.

Duke Perfect Heading Into ACC Play

Unlike North Carolina, the Duke Blue Devils have yet to lose a game so far this season. Duke is 4-0 after their non-conference games, including a double overtime win over Northwestern on the road. While Duke's schedule hasn't been very tough at all to start the season, they have taken care of business against the teams put in front of them, which is commendable. The question this week will be whether the Blue Devils can put pressure on the North Carolina defense the same way that James Madison did against the Tar Heels last weekend.

North Carolina vs Duke Best Bet

While North Carolina vs Duke doesn't carry the same excitement in football as it does in basketball, we should still get a good game between these two ACC teams on Saturday afternoon. While we don't expect North Carolina to give up 70 points again in this game, we do expect them to falter defensively in big spots down the stretch. We will lay the points with Duke, who should stay undefeated after this matchup, while getting a win in their first ACC contest of the 2024 season.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-110
49% NCAR
-1.5/-110
51% DUKE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+100
43% NCAR
-120
57% DUKE

Total Pick Consensus

56.0/-110
47% UN
56.0/-110
53% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

NCAR
Team Stats
DUKE
4
GM
4
38.0
PPG
15.3
71.0
PLAYS-PG
69.0
467.8
YDS/G
259.3
6.6
YPP
3.8
25.5
1st DPG
16.3
11.0
1st DPass
7.8
11.3
1st DRush
6.5
3.3
1st Pen
2.0
9.0
Pen-Gm
6.0
72.5
Pen-Yds
48.0
1.0
FUM-G
1.3
1.0
INT-G
0.8

Defense/Offense

NCAR
Team Stats
DUKE
4
GM
4
29.3
PPG
30.8
61.0
PLAYS-PG
68.8
345.0
YDS/G
360.5
5.7
YPP
5.2
17.0
1st DPG
18.5
7.3
1st DPass
12.0
6.8
1st DRush
4.5
3.0
1st Pen
2.0
9.3
Pen-Gm
4.8
79.0
Pen-Yds
43.5
0.8
FUM-G
0.3
0.3
INT-G
1.0

Offense/Defense

NCAR
Rushing
DUKE
39.5
ATT
37.8
221.8
Y/G
127.3
5.6
Y/A
3.4
3.0
TD/G
1.0

Defense/Offense

NCAR
Rushing
DUKE
34.0
ATT
32.8
106.8
Y/G
104.5
3.1
Y/A
3.2
1.3
TD/G
1.0

Offense/Defense

NCAR
Passing
DUKE
18.8
CMP
17.8
31.5
ATT
31.3
59.5
CMP%
56.8
246
Y/G
132
7.8
Y/A
4.2
1.5
TD/G
0.5

Defense/Offense

NCAR
Passing
DUKE
15.3
CMP
23.3
27
ATT
36
56.5
CMP%
64.6
238.3
Y/G
256
8.8
Y/A
7.1
1.8
TD/G
2.8

NCAR
Special Teams
DUKE
2.8
Punts-GM
5.5
40.3
Punt Avg
44.7
2.3
Kick Ret GM
1.8
21.2
Kick Ret Avg
17.9
0.5
Punt Ret GM
3.0
33.5
Punt Ret Avg
7.3

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NCAR DUKE
NCAR DUKE
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-120)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-121)
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
NCAR DUKE
NCAR DUKE
Consensus
+125
-150
+104
-126
+130
-155
+100
-120
-152
+126
+100
-120
+118
-143
+107
-130
+130
-155
+100
-120
-155
+130
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
55.5 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
56.0 (-111)
55.5 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
57.5 (-105)
57.5 (-115)
55.5 (-115)
55.5 (-105)
55.5 (-114)
55.5 (-107)
56.0 (-109)
56.0 (-112)
55.5 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
56.0 (-110)
56.0 (-110)