The Kent State Golden Flashes will travel to Norman to take on the Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday afternoon. The Sooners are one of the biggest favorites on the board in college football this week. They will try to stay undefeated on the season with a win over the 1-3 Golden Flashes. Here, I take a closer look at this non-conference matchup and you can find my Kent State vs Oklahoma prediction below.
Our Kent State vs Oklahoma Pick
- Pick: Oklahoma -45.5
- Confidence: ★★★★★
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Oklahoma Sooners
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025, 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gaylord Family–Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
- Broadcast: SEC Network
Key Storylines
- Oklahoma’s Quarterback Situation: Starting quarterback John Mateer is out after having hand surgery. Sophomore Michael Hawkins Jr. will make his first start of the season in his place. Despite the change, Oklahoma’s depth at the quarterback position and overall talent should mitigate any concerns caused by Mateer’s absence.
- Kent State’s Offensive Struggles: The Golden Flashes have the fewest rushing yards in FBS football for the 2025 regular season, averaging just 2.4 yards per carry. This inefficiency, combined with a porous defense, has led to blowout losses against top-tier opponents.
- Oklahoma’s Defensive Dominance: The Sooners’ elite defense, led by standout linebacker Kip Lewis, has been a key factor in their undefeated start. The Sooners have given up 17 or fewer points in each of their first four games and will try to extend that streak here.
Quarterback Play
- Michael Hawkins Jr. (Oklahoma): In his first start of the season, Hawkins will look to continue Oklahoma’s offensive success. His performance will be closely watched as he steps into a leadership role.
- Dru DeShields (Kent State): Despite the team’s overall struggles, DeShields has shown promise with five touchdowns and just one interception. However, without a strong supporting cast, his efforts may not be enough to overcome Oklahoma’s defense.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oklahoma’s Recent Performances: The Sooners have been dominant, with a 4-0 record and wins over Michigan and Auburn. They are 2-1-1 against the spread. All four of the Sooners’ games have gone under their totals. Their offense and defense have both been clicking on all cylinders.
- Kent State’s Recent Struggles: The Golden Flashes have faced tough competition, including losses to Florida State and Texas Tech. Kent State is 1-3 against the spread this season. They are 3-1 to the over for the year.
Kent State vs Oklahoma Model Projection
- Score Projection: Oklahoma 56 – Kent State 7
- Win Probability: Oklahoma 98%, Kent State 2%
Final Thoughts
Oklahoma enters this game as a heavy favorite, and for good reason. Their depth, talent, and recent performances suggest a dominant victory over Kent State is coming. Even with Mateer out at quarterback, I recommend betting on Oklahoma covering the spread as a strong play in this matchup.
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