Georgia vs Tennessee Prediction – 9/13/2025
The Tennessee Volunteers will host the Georgia Bulldogs in a battle of ranked SEC teams on Saturday. The Bulldogs are slight favorites on the road going into this matchup between top-15 teams in Knoxville. Which team will get their first SEC win of the season? Find out who I think it will be as I offer up my Georgia vs Tennessee prediction for Week 3 of the 2025 season.
Our Georgia vs Tennessee Pick
- Pick: Tennessee +3.5
- Confidence: 3/5
- Get Your Bonus Bets: Use BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 13, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
- Broadcast: ABC
Key Storylines
- Georgia’s new signal caller Gunner Stockton accounted for four touchdowns against Marshall and the Bulldogs cruised against FCS Austin Peay the week after that. This is Georgia’s first real test of the season and Stockton will try to pass it from the quarterback position.
- Tennessee’s App State transfer Joey Aguilar threw for 247 yards and three touchdowns Tennessee’s opening week win over Syracuse. The Vols also beat an FCS opponent last week when they destroyed East Tennessee State.
- Tennessee produced five sacks and seven tackles for loss against Syracuse. Georgia is known for winning the line of scrimmage themselves. The team that is better upfront will give themselves a clear path to victory.
- This is the first SEC game of the year for both of these teams. You don’t want to be trailing in the conference standings and have to play catch-up and both sides will try to avoid that fate.
Quarterback Play
Gunner Stockton’s debut as the full-time starter has gone well so far. He has completed just over two-thirds of his passes and has two passing touchdowns and no interceptions. Stockton failed his last test against a powerhouse program in last year’s College Football Playoff and he will try to atone for that here.
Joey Aguilar gave Tennessee exactly what it needed in Week 1 against Syracuse. He went 16-of-28 for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Aguilar answered questions about how he would perform in the transition from playing in the Sun Belt to playing for an SEC team and this will be his first in-conference test as an SEC signal caller.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Georgia leads the all-time series against Tennessee 29-23-2.
- Georgia has won their last eight meetings against Tennessee dating back to 2017.
- UGA is 0-2 against the spread so far this season.
- Tennessee has covered the spread in its first two games of the year.
Georgia vs Tennessee Model Projection
Score Projection: Georgia 23 – Tennessee 20
Win Probability: Georgia 69%, Tennessee 31%
Final Thoughts
I like what I’ve seen so far from Aguilar and the Tennessee offense. I think that Aguilar will regress somewhat against an elite defense. But Tennessee should keep this game close at home. I’ll take the points with Tennessee in a game that has huge early SEC title implications.
