Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines Pick – 3/16/2025

The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines are set to face off in the Big Ten Championship game on Sunday, March 16, 2025, at 3:30 PM Eastern Time at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. This highly anticipated matchup features two teams that have demonstrated resilience and skill throughout the season, each aiming to secure the conference title.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Game Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers (26-8) have shown remarkable consistency this season. Despite a few setbacks late in the regular season, including losses to Oregon, Michigan State, and Penn State, the Badgers have rebounded impressively in the Big Ten tournament. They secured victories over Northwestern, UCLA, and top-seeded Michigan State to earn their spot in the finals. Wisconsin's offense is averaging 80.6 points per game, ranking 37th nationally, while their defense allows 70.7 points per game. Key contributors include John Tonje, who leads the team with 19.1 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, and John Blackwell, adding 15.5 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.

The Michigan Wolverines (24-9) have faced challenges toward the end of the regular season, losing four of their last six games. However, they have found their rhythm in the Big Ten tournament, with a decisive 86-68 win over Purdue and a thrilling 81-80 victory against Maryland, secured by Tre Donaldson's last-second layup. Michigan's offense averages 78.8 points per game, with their defense conceding 71.5 points per game. Center Vladislav Goldin leads the team with 16.6 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while Danny Wolf contributes 13.0 points and a team-high 9.8 rebounds per game.

Betting Insights

As of the latest updates, the betting odds for this championship game are as follows:

• Point Spread: Wisconsin favored by 3.5 points.
• Moneyline: Wisconsin -169, Michigan +141.
• Total Points (Over/Under): 149.5.

Wisconsin has been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 21-12-1 record. Notably, they have covered the spread in 11 of their 14 road games. Michigan, on the other hand, has a 15-18 ATS record, with a 7-8 ATS record in road games. Recent trends indicate that Wisconsin has won eight of its last nine day games played at neutral venues, while Michigan has lost three of its last four conference tournament day games.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, this championship game is expected to be closely contested. Wisconsin's efficient offense, led by John Tonje, and their ability to maintain possession with a low turnover rate (9.9 per game) provide them with a slight edge. Michigan's strength lies in their frontcourt, with Goldin and Wolf's presence in the paint posing a significant challenge for the Badgers.

However, Michigan's higher turnover rate (14.1 per game) could be a critical factor, especially against a Wisconsin team that capitalizes on opponents' mistakes. Additionally, Wisconsin's superior free-throw shooting percentage (82.8%) could prove decisive in a tight game.

Given these factors, the prediction leans toward a narrow victory for Wisconsin. The Badgers' consistency, offensive efficiency, and ability to capitalize on turnovers may give them the advantage needed to secure the Big Ten Championship title.

Predicted Score: Wisconsin 79, Michigan 74.