Tarleton State Texans vs California Baptist Lancers Pick – 3/13/2025

The Tarleton State Texans and the California Baptist Lancers are set to face off in a Western Athletic Conference Tournament game on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at 11:30 PM Eastern Time. This matchup, taking place at Orleans Arena, features the sixth-seeded Texans against the third-seeded Lancers. Notably, these teams recently clashed on March 6, with California Baptist securing a decisive 68-48 victory.

Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers Game Preview

Tarleton State enters this contest with a 12-19 overall record, having lost their last two games. Their recent 71-66 defeat to Utah Valley highlighted ongoing offensive struggles, as the team managed only 30 points in the second half. The Texans average 63.7 points per game while allowing 70.1 points to opponents. Key player Bubu Benjamin leads the team with an average of 14.3 points per game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 38.6% from three-point range.

California Baptist, on the other hand, boasts a 16-14 record and is riding a three-game winning streak. Their latest victory was a narrow 70-68 win over UT Arlington. The Lancers average 72 points per game and concede 70.5 points to opponents. Dominique Daniels Jr. is the standout performer, averaging 19.9 points per game, though his shooting percentage stands at 37.6% from the field. It's important to note that Daniels Jr. is listed as questionable for this game due to an undisclosed injury sustained on February 28.

Betting Insights

• Spread: California Baptist is favored by 6.5 points.
• Over/Under: The total points line is set at 129.5.

Recent betting trends include:

• Tarleton State is 18-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 26 games following a straight-up loss.
• California Baptist has won each of its last three games against Western Athletic Conference opponents.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings between these teams.

Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers Prediction

Considering the recent 68-48 victory by California Baptist over Tarleton State on March 6, the Lancers appear to have a strategic advantage. Tarleton State's offensive inconsistencies, coupled with California Baptist's solid defensive performance in their recent encounters, suggest that the Lancers are well-positioned to secure another win. However, the potential absence of Dominique Daniels Jr. could impact California Baptist's offensive output. Despite this, the Lancers' recent form and home-court advantage make them the favorable pick. Therefore, the recommendation is to back California Baptist to cover the 6.5-point spread.