North Carolina Tar Heels
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Pick – 3/13/2025
The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons are set to face off on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at 2:30 PM at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. This quarterfinal matchup in the ACC Tournament carries significant weight, as both teams are vying for a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Game Preview
Both teams concluded the regular season with identical 13-7 records in ACC play, with Wake Forest securing the No. 4 seed and North Carolina the No. 5 seed. Their previous encounter on January 21 saw the Demon Deacons edge out a narrow 67-66 victory over the Tar Heels, despite shooting just 2-for-15 from beyond the arc.
In that contest, Wake Forest capitalized on free-throw opportunities, converting 21 of 27 attempts, while North Carolina attempted only 10 free throws and relied heavily on three-point shots, making 8 of 32 attempts. The Tar Heels will need to adjust their offensive strategy and limit the Demon Deacons' trips to the charity stripe to reverse the outcome in this rematch.
Betting Insights
- Point Spread: North Carolina -5.5
- Moneyline: North Carolina -225, Wake Forest +185
- Over/Under: 148 points
North Carolina has a 13-20 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including a 10-9 mark when favored by 5.5 points or more. Conversely, Wake Forest holds a 14-17 ATS record, going 2-6 as underdogs of 5.5 points or greater. The Tar Heels have covered the spread in 8 of their 21 conference games, while the Demon Deacons have done so in 11 of 20 ACC matchups.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Prediction
Considering the teams' recent performances and the stakes involved, this game is expected to be closely contested. North Carolina's reliance on perimeter shooting in their previous meeting proved detrimental, and they will need to diversify their offensive approach to succeed. Wake Forest's proficiency at drawing fouls and converting free throws could play a pivotal role if the Tar Heels fail to adjust defensively.
Given the narrow margin in their last encounter and the Demon Deacons' ability to exploit North Carolina's defensive lapses, taking Wake Forest to cover the +5.5 spread appears to be a prudent choice. However, the Tar Heels' experience and motivation to secure an NCAA Tournament berth may ultimately lead them to a slim victory.
Prediction: North Carolina 74, Wake Forest 70
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
