Bowling Green Falcons vs Akron Zips Prediction – 3/13/2025

The Mid-American Conference (MAC) Men's Basketball Tournament kicks off with a quarterfinal matchup between the top-seeded Akron Zips and the eighth-seeded Bowling Green Falcons on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at Rocket Arena in Cleveland. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET, with the game available for streaming on ESPN+.

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Akron Zips Game Preview

Akron enters the tournament with an impressive 25-6 overall record, including a dominant 17-1 mark in MAC play. The Zips have been on a roll, winning their last five games and showcasing a potent offense that averages 84.0 points per game, ranking them 10th nationally. Defensively, they allow 74.2 points per contest.

Bowling Green, on the other hand, holds a 14-17 overall record and went 8-10 in conference action. The Falcons have shown resilience lately, winning four of their last five games. They average 73.7 points per game while conceding 73.2 points to opponents.

Betting Insights

• Spread: Akron -11.5
• Over/Under: 149.5 points
• Moneyline: Akron -675, Bowling Green +490

Akron has covered the spread in 14 of their 29 games this season, while Bowling Green has covered in 14 of 29 as well. Notably, Akron has struggled to cover large spreads, covering just 14.3% of the time when favored by 11.5 points or more. Conversely, Bowling Green has covered 50% of the time when an underdog of 11.5 points or more.

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Akron Zips Prediction

Akron's high-octane offense, led by standout guard Nate Johnson averaging 13.5 points per game, presents a significant challenge for Bowling Green's defense. The Zips' ability to space the floor and utilize four-guard lineups has been effective throughout the season. Bowling Green's recent form is commendable, but their defensive vulnerabilities, especially on the road where they allow 75 points per game, could be exploited by Akron's efficient offense.

Given Akron's recent performances and offensive prowess, they are likely to control the game's tempo and capitalize on Bowling Green's defensive lapses. While Bowling Green has been competitive, the Zips' consistency and scoring ability make them the favorable pick.

Prediction: Akron to win and cover the -11.5 spread. Additionally, considering both teams' scoring tendencies, the total points may exceed the 149.5 over/under line.

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