Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Pick – 3/13/2025

The Boise State Broncos and the San Diego State Aztecs are set to face off in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference tournament on March 13, 2025, at 5:30 pm Eastern Time. This Mountain West Conference showdown promises to be a compelling contest, with both teams aiming to reach the semifinals.

Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Game Preview

Boise State enters the game with a 21-9 overall record, including a 14-6 mark in conference play. The Broncos have demonstrated a balanced approach, averaging 76 points per game while allowing 66.32 points defensively. Key contributors include forward Tyson Degenhart, who leads the team with 17.81 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, and guard Alvaro Cardenas, who averages 6.87 assists per game. The team's offensive efficiency is highlighted by a 47% field goal percentage and a 78% success rate from the free-throw line.

San Diego State, holding a 20-8 overall record and a 14-6 conference record, is known for its defensive prowess. The Aztecs allow just 63.69 points per game, ranking them 14th nationally in this category. Offensively, they average 71.52 points per game, with guard Nick Boyd leading the scoring at 13.17 points per game. The team's defensive strength is further emphasized by their 38% opponent field goal percentage, placing them second nationally.

Betting Insights

As of now, specific betting odds for this matchup have not been released. However, historical trends provide valuable insights:

• Boise State has a 16-14 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 6-13 ATS record as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.
• San Diego State holds a 12-16 ATS record, including a 3-8-1 ATS record as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points.
• The under has hit in 13 of Boise State's last 16 neutral site games as an underdog.
• The under is 11-4 in San Diego State's last 15 neutral site games as an underdog.

These trends suggest a potential for a low-scoring game, aligning with both teams' strong defensive capabilities.

Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

Considering the statistical profiles and recent performances of both teams, this game is expected to be closely contested. Boise State's balanced offense and solid defense will challenge San Diego State's formidable defensive unit. Given the Aztecs' slight edge in defensive metrics and their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities, they may have a marginal advantage in this matchup. However, the outcome is likely to be determined by key plays in the closing moments, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Check out all our free picks on every NCAABB game daily in our NCAABB betting section.