The Winnipeg Blue Bombers hit the road this Saturday to face the Toronto Argonauts in Week 8 of the CFL season. The Bombers enter this week at 3-2 on the year and will look to end a losing streak with a victory here. Toronto is off to a rough start this year and is desperate for a win at home. Here, I break down this CFL matchup and make my Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts prediction for Saturday.
Our Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts Pick
- Pick: Toronto Argonauts +3
- Confidence: ★★★
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 26, 2025, at 7:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: TSN / CTV / CBSSN
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|
Winnipeg -3 | Winnipeg –154 / Toronto +130 | O/U 50.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
Winnipeg sprinted out to a 3-0 record with dominant wins over BC and Edmonton. But they have lost two games in a row since then and are now in third place in the West. Toronto is off to a 1-5 start. They have struggled mightily without Chad Kelly. We could see Kelly back from injury this week. That would be a huge potential boost for the Argos going forward.
Quarterback play
Zach Collaros has mixed results this season. But his life is made easier by the running game that is spearheaded by Brady Oliveira. Toronto’s QB situation is less clear thanks to Kelly’s injury situation. Bettors may want to wait until Kelly’s status is confirmed before placing any bets on this matchup.
Anticipated matchup advantages
- The Winnipeg secondary could have a good day if Arbuckle is still the Argos’ quarterback. Arbuckle has thrown eight interceptions this year and Winnipeg could capitalize on him being so turnover prone.
- Winnipeg’s ground game with Brady Oliveira goes up against an Argos defense that ranks middle-of-the-pack in run defense.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Winnipeg is 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread this season.
- Toronto is 1-5 straight up and 2-4 against the spread on the season.
- The Argos have yet to cover the spread at home this year in three home games.
- The Bombers are 1-1 against the spread in their road games this year.
- The Argos are 2-3-1 on over/unders this year. The Bombers are 4-1 to the over.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts Model Projection
Score Projection: Toronto 24 – Winnipeg 21
Win Probability: Toronto 57%, Winnipeg 43%
Final Thoughts
We could see an entirely different Argonauts offense this week than we have so far this season. If Chad Kelly can make his season debut, I think we could see Toronto win this game outright. I’ll take the points with the Argos in this game. However, I would warn bettors that they may want to wait until Kelly’s status is confirmed to lock in their wagers in this one.